Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
15 %
61,184
9,317,472
Virginia Beach, VA...Raleigh, NC...Norfolk, VA...Chesapeake, VA...Durham, NC...
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 250030
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0630 PM CST Thu Dec 24 2020
Valid 250100Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EASTERN
CAROLINAS INTO SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...
...SUMMARY...
Severe risk -- which includes potential for locally damaging winds
and a few tornadoes -- continues across portions of the Carolinas
and Mid-Atlantic region, and to a lesser degree southward into
Florida.
...01z Update...
Strong 500mb speed max appears to have translated through the base
of the eastern US trough and will eject across GA into VA later
tonight. Cold front associated with this feature is beginning to
surge east across western NC/SC at roughly 35kt. While the majority
of deep convection with lightning is observed ahead of this wind
shift, will maintain severe probabilities along/ahead of the
synoptic frontal zone. Given the latest trends, will continue a SLGT
Risk downstream across Coastal NC/SC into southeast VA where
buoyancy remains greatest in association with mid 60s surface dew
points. Very strong flow just off the surface remains conducive for
strong wind gusts if augmented by minimal convective contribution.
Shear is also impressive across the warm sector so damaging winds
and some tornado threat remain until the front moves offshore.
..Darrow.. 12/25/2020
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
| 
)
