Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
5 %
29,753
2,311,734
Mobile, AL...Gulfport, MS...Pensacola, FL...Biloxi, MS...Panama City, FL...
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 141728
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1228 PM CDT Mon Sep 14 2020
Valid 151200Z - 161200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
COASTAL SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
...SUMMARY...
A few tornadoes may occur Tuesday and Tuesday night across portions
of the central Gulf Coast in association with Hurricane Sally.
...Central Gulf Coast...
Hurricane Sally should continue moving west-northwestward today per
latest NHC forecasts, before slowly turning northward on Tuesday.
Although some uncertainty still remains in the track of Sally,
confidence is increasing that at least weak destabilization will
occur into parts of coastal AL and the FL Panhandle as mid/upper 70s
surface dewpoints spread northward across these areas through the
period. With Sally intensifying rather quickly already, and
continued strengthening forecast by the NHC, a broad area of
enhanced south-southeasterly low-level winds are expected to
overspread parts of the central Gulf Coast, mainly Tuesday afternoon
through Tuesday night. The forecast combination of weak instability
and strong low-level shear will be capable of supporting
semi-discrete, low-topped supercells in outer rain bands. A few
tornadoes will be possible if this occurs. Consensus of 12Z
convection-allowing guidance suggests a greater potential for one or
more of these outer bands to set up to the east of Sally's center
across parts of southern AL into the FL Panhandle, where a Slight
Risk for tornadoes has been included.
..Gleason.. 09/14/2020
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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