Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 061729
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1229 PM CDT Tue Oct 06 2020
Valid 071200Z - 081200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS UPSTATE NEW YORK
AND NEW ENGLAND...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms associated with marginally severe wind gusts will be
possible across parts of Upstate New York through northern New
England Wednesday afternoon and evening.
...Upstate New York/northern New England...
An upper-level trough will move eastward from the lower Great Lakes
Wednesday morning into New England Wednesday afternoon. At the
surface, a low will deepen and move across southern Quebec. An
associated cold front will advance eastward across New York and into
New England. Ahead of the front, a corridor of weak instability will
be in place from Lake Ontario eastward into central New England.
Scattered thunderstorms are forecast to develop along this corridor
during the day as the cold front moves eastward across the region.
MLCAPE near 500 J/kg along with 850 mb winds of 40 to 50 kt will
create conditions supportive of marginally severe wind gusts. The
wind damage potential should remain very isolated due to the weak
instability and does not warrant the issuance of a slight risk.
..Broyles.. 10/06/2020
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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