SPC AC 080724

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0224 AM CDT Mon Jun 08 2020

   Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

   ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
   OHIO...WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA...AND WESTERN NEW YORK...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Scattered severe storms are possible from Ohio into western New York
   Wednesday afternoon and evening. Isolated strong wind gusts will be
   possible farther south across eastern Kentucky, Tennessee, Georgia
   and Alabama.

   ...OH...PA...NY...
   A strong shortwave trough is forecast to lift northeast from the mid
   MS Valley toward the Great Lakes region, with the greatest height
   falls across IN, MI, and OH. At the surface, a cold front will
   likely stretch from OH into central AL by 00Z, with robust low-level
   moisture ahead of it.

   Heating will combine with the moist air mass to produce around 2000
   J/kg MUCAPE over the area, as strengthening southwest flow aloft
   increases shear. Low-level shear will be modest, with 30-40 kt
   southerly 850 mb winds and veering in the low levels. 

   Scattered storms are likely to develop by 21Z from OH into KY,
   expanding into western PA and NY during the evening. Mixed storm
   modes are possible, including the potential for isolated supercells,
   or a few linear structures. Damaging wind gusts, marginally severe
   hail, and perhaps a tornado or two will be possible. 

   ...Eastern KY/TN southward into AL...
   Large-scale lift will be lesser over southern areas, but storms are
   still expected during the afternoon along the front in a 1500-2000
   J/kg MUCAPE environment. Mean wind speeds as well as shear will also
   be weaker, but any storms clusters will have the potential to
   produce localized wind damage.

   ..Jewell.. 06/08/2020

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z