SPC AC 030730

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0230 AM CDT Mon Aug 03 2020

   Valid 051200Z - 061200Z

   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
   THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...

   ...SUMMARY...
   A few strong storms capable of gusty winds and hail are possible
   Wednesday afternoon and evening over portions of the central High
   Plains.

   ...Central High Plains...

   Conditions on Wednesday will be similar to those on Tuesday.
   However, forecast guidance does indicate some stronger capping may
   be in place. Otherwise, northwesterly mid/upper level flow will
   persist as an upper trough shifts eastward over the Rockies and
   adjacent High Plains. Thunderstorms are expected to develop in moist
   upslope flow during the afternoon and shift east/southeast across
   eastern CO into portions of western NE and perhaps western KS.
   Forecast soundings indicate shear profiles capable of supporting
   organized, rotating updrafts amid weak to moderate instability and
   steep midlevel lapse rates. This should once again result in a few
   strong to perhaps severe storms capable of gusty winds and hail
   during the late afternoon and evening. Convection should again
   weaken during the late evening/overnight hours.

   ...Northern New England...

   The remains of Isaias are forecast to be located over
   central/northern ME Wednesday morning. Forecast soundings suggest
   little in the way of tornado potential at this time. The system
   should lift quickly northeast during the first few hours of the
   period toward the Canadian Maritimes. Trends will be monitored, but
   severe potential appears low at this time.

   ..Leitman.. 08/03/2020

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