SPC AC 140717

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0217 AM CDT Mon Sep 14 2020

   Valid 161200Z - 171200Z

   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FAR SOUTHEASTERN
   MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN/CENTRAL ALABAMA...AND NORTHWESTERN FLORIDA...

   ...SUMMARY...
   A few tornadoes associated with Tropical Cyclone Sally are possible
   across portions of the north-central Gulf Coast and Deep South on
   Wednesday.

   ...Central Gulf Coast...
   Though important differences remain in latest model guidance, the
   general consensus is that Tropical Cyclone Sally will migrate very
   slowly inland across portions of Mississippi/Alabama through early
   Thursday.  Strong low-level shear will be present along and east of
   the cyclone center, and a mix of convective bands and cells are also
   likely to be present within that airmass.  Pending development of
   sufficient low-level buoyancy, a few tornadoes and damaging,
   convective wind gusts are likely to occur - especially within the
   Marginal area across southeastern Mississippi into Alabama.  It is
   entirely possible that the areas of greatest severe risk will shift
   in later outlook updates pending intensity and eventual track of
   Sally.

   ..Cook.. 09/14/2020

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z