DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1029 AM CST SAT MAR 13 2021 VALID TIME 131630Z - 141200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 29640245 31370243 32680255 34060273 35290314 35920326 36330314 36700293 37100210 37370113 37329964 36979870 36259814 35029797 31999877 30439963 29100084 0.05 34190204 35290258 36060271 36570247 36840164 36960100 36909997 36729937 36649918 36019881 34999862 33289928 32000028 29870102 29800148 30070176 30680199 31010207 31410208 32120194 33160197 34190204 0.10 34680179 35510201 35920206 36340192 36530171 36640126 36550054 36380002 35939966 35259953 34449966 33959984 33530008 33120055 32980107 33230146 34680179 0.15 34610004 34320021 34190094 34310138 34920156 35320167 35590138 35830044 35620004 34610004 SIGN 35899969 35189958 34439971 33899990 33530011 33230058 33050104 33250139 34080157 34670177 35450199 36020200 36300187 36460169 36630126 36590075 36350004 35899969 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 29640243 31030269 32190272 33380288 33910310 34250367 34610415 35060438 35980443 37240407 38210353 39080255 39630099 39489912 38739795 37509748 34469791 31949832 30099938 28930084 0.15 29660202 30430212 31290236 32740237 33900252 34800285 35860314 36730288 37570181 37870040 37549944 37089911 35199877 33249899 31129995 29310104 0.30 34130163 34900181 35680249 36180239 36790167 36860094 36530000 35959961 35189953 34289971 33579996 33070048 32300103 32370148 33160149 34130163 SIGN 35150216 35810213 36260190 36510150 36570075 36489992 35989963 35159955 34289970 33629993 33080013 32280065 31780097 31460156 31660191 32550187 33870201 34540218 35150216 && ... WIND ... 0.05 29560244 31360245 32600245 33970265 34800299 35330358 36590373 37750312 38240206 38490091 38159940 37479748 37019732 34499739 31929834 30099938 28930084 0.15 29700204 30450212 31350215 32840174 34090177 35830228 36540211 37060130 37180033 37119911 36209817 34909809 32089892 30609977 29270091 0.30 36030002 35929968 35379916 33859934 32759959 32339989 32210076 32300110 32830107 33180100 34220084 35050073 35850036 36030002 SIGN 31510076 31430141 31610152 31970136 32370125 33780099 34980088 35340077 35630038 35690000 35569971 35199939 32969970 32050007 31510076 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 35330166 35640131 35840048 35620003 34670002 34320022 34200094 34330138 35330166 ENH 36530000 35959961 35849960 35379916 33859934 32759959 32339989 32210076 32300110 32310110 32370148 33160149 33730157 34680179 34960186 35680249 36180239 36790167 36860094 36530000 SLGT 29780205 30170209 30430212 31290236 32740237 33900252 34800285 35860314 36730288 37570181 37870040 37539944 37119911 36209817 34909808 32089892 30609978 29300090 MRGL 29790246 31030269 32190272 33380288 33900310 34250367 34610415 35060438 35980443 37240407 38210353 39080255 39630099 39479912 38739795 37479748 37019732 34499739 31949832 30099938 29050068 TSTM 28990298 29740322 30570314 31340304 32130275 33300325 33670363 33850419 34270496 35130535 36130537 37050505 38140507 40680473 41080510 41530528 42540359 42880059 42599819 41729565 39999435 38619452 37119478 35379528 33789603 31619700 29559775 28549934 28030019 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNE AMA BGD 50 E BGD 50 WNW CSM 20 NE CDS 10 SSE CDS 40 WSW CDS 25 ENE PVW 10 NNE AMA. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 ESE LBL 50 NNW CSM 40 NNW CSM CSM 50 W SPS 25 NNE ABI 15 WSW ABI 45 E BGS 25 ENE BGS 25 ENE BGS 10 N BGS 40 SSE LBB 15 ENE LBB 35 N PVW 20 SSW AMA 25 S DHT 15 NE DHT 10 NW GUY 10 S LBL 65 ESE LBL. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE 6R6 10 NE 6R6 25 N 6R6 40 NE FST 50 E HOB 45 WNW LBB 40 NE CVS 35 WSW DHT 25 NE CAO 40 N EHA 20 ESE GCK 35 ESE DDC 30 WSW P28 15 SW END 15 SSW CHK 20 N BWD JCT DRT. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW 6R6 15 ENE FST 35 WNW MAF 50 NNE HOB 35 SSE CVS 20 WSW CVS 50 WNW CVS 45 W TCC 45 ENE LVS 15 E TAD 10 N LHX 20 SW ITR 40 ENE GLD 40 E HLC 15 WSW SLN 10 SSW ICT 25 NNW PNC 25 WNW ADM 20 SSW SEP 40 SE JCT 25 SSE DRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 SSW 6R6 65 WSW 6R6 25 SSW FST 30 NNW FST 35 WNW MAF 45 N HOB 50 SSW CVS 45 NNE ROW 40 ENE 4CR 40 SSW LVS 35 NNW LVS 40 NW RTN 30 WSW PUB 20 NE FCL 15 WSW CYS 25 NE LAR 30 SW CDR VTN 25 ENE ONL 25 SW DNS 35 ENE STJ 20 SE OJC 15 W JLN 20 SSE MKO 25 ESE DUA 15 E ACT 20 SE BAZ 10 NW COT 55 NW LRD.