DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1243 AM CDT TUE MAR 16 2021 VALID TIME 161200Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 33300030 34510047 35820108 36440165 37010141 37219950 37499793 37399665 36689341 35269033 34828921 34288630 33318295 32848208 32458184 32138189 31818211 31378301 31078504 31068672 31089034 31359271 31089485 29719719 29159841 29089948 29310032 29740086 30350112 30870124 33300030 0.05 34989892 35939956 36529946 36619843 36219717 35329654 34509680 34289828 34989892 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 30890122 33000032 34380038 35790099 36600189 37630160 38929882 39439746 39979491 39969361 39289279 37089308 35999133 35239020 34818913 34198612 33368326 32828202 32228184 31798206 31328304 31058489 31088754 31109049 31339256 31129485 29819704 29219834 29059948 29280019 29730082 30400114 30890122 0.15 30790064 32210015 33469971 34519989 35790036 36460084 37050080 37839980 38839782 39089623 38879496 38229445 36949465 36159487 34429449 33689453 33189472 31319608 29949772 29569890 29599969 29920035 30790064 && ... WIND ... 0.05 30890122 33000032 34380038 35790099 36600189 37630160 38929882 39439746 39979491 39969361 39289279 37089308 35999133 35239020 34818913 34198612 33368326 32828202 32208176 31798206 31328304 31058489 31088754 31069038 31339252 31129477 29819704 29219834 29059948 29280019 29730082 30400114 30890122 0.15 30790064 32210015 33509971 34619990 35930037 36460084 37050080 37839980 38839782 39089623 38879496 38229445 36949465 36159487 34429449 33689453 33189472 31319608 29949772 29569890 29599969 29920035 30790064 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 29659984 30020039 30820068 31930029 33469975 34649994 35720027 36450088 37080080 37869980 38839777 39089627 38919496 38129441 36119487 34289446 33119472 31219616 29909775 29559894 29659984 MRGL 29310033 29770087 30370114 30910127 31490099 33120030 34320038 35820108 36630193 37700161 38659953 39479728 39989496 39929356 39329283 37119312 35279028 34848920 34488724 33258284 32838206 32438186 32128189 31768212 31348313 31048503 31078729 31119061 31359271 31089481 29719723 29189837 29089951 29310033 TSTM 30708065 30698232 30568342 29908429 29128494 99999999 28439438 28869586 28909767 28639949 28120084 99999999 29190167 30140161 30790167 31430154 32080120 32740086 33290063 33890079 35230111 35430126 35800197 35960297 35770355 36270444 37240491 37840452 38690303 39600116 40419874 41409628 41669371 41689114 41179024 40208950 39108927 38118899 37428849 37038790 36318652 35398420 35238252 35808058 36527900 37037764 37137606 36927495 99999999 38440767 38210912 38481063 39071062 39731017 39960905 39760824 39540757 38440767 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WNW HDO 50 SW JCT 40 SSW SJT 40 NNE SJT 70 N ABI 25 NE CDS 65 E BGD 40 ESE GUY 10 ENE LBL 10 NE DDC SLN 20 E MHK 15 WNW OJC 55 SSE OJC 35 SSW GMJ 15 N DEQ 50 WSW TXK 45 NNE CLL 20 NE BAZ 20 NE HDO 45 WNW HDO. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E DRT 30 N DRT 70 ENE 6R6 55 SW SJT 30 WNW SJT 60 NW ABI 10 SW CDS 20 ENE BGD 25 W GUY 50 WSW GCK 40 WSW RSL 20 ESE CNK 15 N STJ CDJ 45 NW COU 15 ESE SGF 25 NW MEM 35 NNE UOX 30 SE MSL 50 W AGS 35 S AGS 35 ENE VDI 30 E VDI 35 SSE VDI 40 NNE VLD 15 NNE MAI 30 SSW GZH 10 WSW MCB 25 W ESF 10 SSW LFK 50 E BAZ 25 SSE SAT 25 SW HDO 35 E DRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ESE SSI 40 S AYS 15 SSW VLD 35 S TLH 40 S AAF ...CONT... 65 SSE GLS 25 ENE PSX 35 N NIR 20 NW COT 85 S DRT ...CONT... 45 WSW DRT 35 E 6R6 60 NNE 6R6 55 SE MAF 20 ESE BGS 50 NE BGS 75 ESE LBB 50 SW CDS 35 E AMA 20 SSE BGD 35 WNW BGD 25 W DHT 40 N TCC 30 S RTN 30 W TAD 30 S PUB 45 NNW LAA 35 ENE GLD 20 SW HSI 20 WNW OMA 10 NNW DSM 35 ESE CID 25 SE MLI 25 NNE SPI 35 NNW SLO 15 SSW MVN 30 NNE PAH 35 NW HOP 15 NE BNA 30 SSW TYS 15 S AVL 40 WSW GSO 20 E DAN 35 NE AVC 15 NNE ORF 70 E ORF ...CONT... 15 ESE MTJ 50 NNE 4BL 4HV 25 W U28 30 ENE PUC 40 SE VEL 50 NNE GJT 35 WSW EGE 15 ESE MTJ.