DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0732 AM CDT TUE MAR 16 2021 VALID TIME 161300Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 32840035 33550044 34700078 35480118 36110138 36520141 36870098 37179988 37269754 36929540 35499386 33969113 33568902 33158656 33198520 32948317 32688254 32198237 31838251 31548304 31268513 31279122 31729278 31559450 31059574 29569744 29079857 29280002 30120151 30700163 32040074 32840035 0.05 34530014 35710065 36340048 36619981 36709752 36319585 35239474 34179337 33659274 33129260 32549316 31739512 31729635 32619744 33479850 34019954 34530014 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 30860177 32010097 32940050 33350048 34600087 35540160 36600189 37610161 38639952 39479729 39979491 39969361 39279284 37119313 35239020 34158880 33298658 33308501 32848208 32258186 31798206 31328304 31058489 31068759 31049136 31359257 31359380 30929537 29469724 28909848 28930021 30030174 30860177 0.15 30710159 31880077 32850027 33430028 34720068 35490115 36470144 37210087 37889984 38839782 39089623 38929494 38159444 35219470 34179340 33689273 33129264 32519322 31319608 29779763 29329871 29469993 30250129 30710159 SIGN 33980008 35380070 36230068 37069966 38059749 38359623 37839554 36799592 35739633 34299667 33699728 33619817 33980008 && ... WIND ... 0.05 30850177 31920104 32860049 33400048 34550084 35570164 36450188 37200133 38070000 39059777 39429543 39279413 38979352 35829357 34989230 34279079 34188884 33308655 33308498 32838210 32238186 31798206 31328304 31058489 31088754 31049137 31349256 31349382 30909542 29449728 28909845 28930021 30000173 30850177 0.15 30700158 31900075 32820027 33460031 34730069 35480116 36520142 36830116 37699987 38639786 38789632 38659572 38019492 35249471 34139336 33689277 33159260 32489329 31319608 29809758 29329865 29469993 30230129 30700158 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 29469997 30260131 30730157 31840079 32840027 33420030 34710069 35470115 36460143 37260082 37919980 38839777 39089627 38919496 38129441 35239470 33639273 33119264 32529321 31349600 29749765 29319871 29469997 MRGL 30010175 30840177 32090091 32870050 33330048 34620089 35490159 36600190 37610161 38629955 39479728 39989496 39929356 39269282 37119312 35279028 34158882 33298656 33308503 32848209 32268187 31768212 31318300 31048503 31038744 31039141 31349254 31349385 30919539 29499721 28909843 28940019 30010175 TSTM 30508080 30368179 30168252 29818324 29238382 99999999 28439438 28869586 28749777 28549934 28120084 99999999 29190167 30190188 30840190 31480174 32040132 32740086 33290063 33890079 34550105 34970143 36210646 36661004 36591166 37041289 37621352 39101328 39771276 40001150 40130938 39640736 39210651 38590547 38410448 38660293 39600116 40459865 41179528 41379388 41399272 41019185 39289076 38279059 37219016 36398907 35768730 35518555 35358424 35408264 35518072 35637878 35847694 36487484 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 W HDO 55 ENE 6R6 60 NE 6R6 35 NNW SJT 45 NW ABI 70 S CDS 30 NW CDS 20 SE BGD 15 SSE GUY 15 NNE LBL 15 NE DDC SLN 20 E MHK 15 WNW OJC 55 SSE OJC 15 NNW RKR 30 N ELD 15 SE ELD 35 E SHV 55 NW UTS 25 E BAZ 20 SW SAT 50 W HDO. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E 6R6 60 NNE 6R6 35 ESE BGS 55 WNW ABI 75 S CDS 35 WNW CDS 20 SW BGD 25 WSW GUY 45 NNE EHA 45 WSW RSL 20 ESE CNK 15 N STJ CDJ 45 NW COU 15 ESE SGF 25 NW MEM 10 SSW TUP 25 SSE BHM 20 N LGC 35 SSW AGS 30 E VDI 35 SSE VDI 35 W AYS 15 NNE MAI 35 SW GZH 40 S HEZ 15 WSW ESF 45 WNW POE 15 NNE UTS 45 NNW VCT 45 S SAT 55 SE DRT 30 E 6R6. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NE SGJ 10 SW JAX 35 NNW GNV 15 NNW CTY 50 WSW CTY ...CONT... 65 SSE GLS 25 ENE PSX 25 NNW NIR 10 NW COT 85 S DRT ...CONT... 45 WSW DRT 20 ENE 6R6 60 NNE 6R6 40 SE MAF 15 SE BGS 50 NE BGS 75 ESE LBB 50 SW CDS 45 W CDS 25 SE AMA 30 ENE 4SL 70 SSW 4BL 25 SSW PGA 40 E SGU 25 WSW CDC 45 WSW U24 30 SSE DPG 50 NW PUC 20 SSE VEL 25 W EGE 20 E ASE 45 WSW COS 10 N PUB 45 NNW LAA 35 ENE GLD 15 SW HSI 30 NNE SDA 15 SW DSM 20 ENE OXV 30 E OTM 40 NNW STL 35 SSW STL 35 W CGI 35 NE DYR 45 SW BNA 40 NNW CHA 35 SSW TYS AVL 25 NNE CLT 15 S RDU 50 SW ECG 75 ENE ECG.