DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1252 AM CDT WED MAR 17 2021 VALID TIME 171200Z - 181200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 29299368 30129526 30999562 33309551 35359595 36979639 37819607 38279357 38068944 37258708 35818528 34208315 33458245 32838209 32268237 31968331 31798380 31188455 29468578 0.05 28599026 29579320 31299473 33769513 35799569 36869596 37439534 37709509 37919417 37959196 37849116 37458938 36598747 35298552 34208414 32808258 32408289 31978396 31408466 29788600 0.10 33909427 35519439 36659441 37189385 37299293 37339200 37159056 36428838 35048571 33968499 33088458 31968465 31478507 30718645 30208817 29879009 29839134 29949279 30649361 31919399 33909427 0.15 33939264 35229262 36149177 35889041 35488866 34518614 33018545 32078597 31658705 30998857 30818981 30529180 30829283 31809318 33319265 33939264 0.30 33069191 34378987 34228823 33508771 32558822 32039062 32069175 33069191 SIGN 32569304 34119291 35769314 36649216 36769106 36288900 35788776 34528579 33518540 32958534 31878592 30428909 30229129 30609293 31549328 32569304 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 27409661 27969801 28619862 29319854 30029747 30659666 32149590 33619599 34739622 36849726 37639811 38159827 38879718 39589485 39889285 39389005 38658801 37518657 36178512 34938391 33448241 32898207 32288238 31898355 31188455 29468578 0.15 29029390 29859468 31299473 33329499 35489557 36869592 37559529 37809487 37919410 37939172 37428934 36568737 35378560 33548338 32888262 32458285 31998398 31368475 29778600 0.30 35519439 36699441 37229390 37359301 37139044 36428837 34988563 33038458 31888464 31078575 30678662 29868994 29839141 29949279 30739374 31769404 35519439 SIGN 34718889 34278785 33338701 32428664 31618705 30898890 30549202 30909294 32139311 33509235 34329120 34749010 34718889 && ... WIND ... 0.05 28319373 29739539 30989593 32249590 34669613 36919718 37649808 38189826 38889715 39639466 39889273 39419025 38658803 37438647 35728469 34388334 33808278 33318234 32858207 32298236 31798375 31188455 29468578 0.15 28308916 29479309 30859471 32659486 33769505 35549557 36869587 37479530 37759500 37949418 37949170 37438938 36618748 35128527 33728360 33038349 32568371 32128406 31418471 29778602 0.30 35528644 34588531 33198454 32088463 31338533 30538746 30359055 30709296 31819400 34459436 36589446 37199394 37359301 37299147 36988998 36458844 35528644 SIGN 36179358 36719332 37169167 36538870 35008565 32998552 32008589 31378678 30598891 30579083 30609236 30809303 31579382 32849389 34299384 35459384 36179358 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... HIGH 32999188 34408982 34218819 33468772 32488823 32009053 32079174 32999188 MDT 31688707 30968865 30529183 30829283 31779318 33319265 35229264 36169174 35538884 34508613 33018545 32058600 31688707 ENH 30208840 29879009 29859160 29949279 30619369 31759404 34079430 35999445 36729441 37229394 37339327 37339209 37159058 36999007 36478849 35478652 35058571 34858553 33938497 33078459 32628457 31948462 31468511 30698654 30208840 SLGT 29039390 29879468 31319476 33129500 34759539 35969573 36869596 37449533 37729506 37939416 37949175 37508954 36628750 35128526 32848259 32398287 32208351 31998397 31398473 29768602 MRGL 27439661 27979798 28639861 29319856 30009749 30669666 32209594 33589599 34739622 36119688 37089740 37689813 38189827 38879720 39629476 39889285 39389009 38678803 37368639 34908386 33398240 32818208 32268237 32158276 31978329 31788378 31188454 29418582 TSTM 27039973 29809951 31079839 32419724 33929688 34339709 35019734 35499772 35709916 35330171 35410295 36660407 39580148 41159653 41589173 41578775 40838423 39998174 38557995 37157874 36057653 35837503 35827421 99999999 31277981 31318189 30558338 29948451 29348504 28778537 && THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE MLU 15 W UOX 35 E TUP 20 NNW TCL 30 ENE MEI 50 ENE HEZ 35 SSE MLU 35 NNE MLU. THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N GZH 30 NW MOB 25 NNE LFT 25 SE POE IER 10 ENE ELD 25 E RUE 30 N BVX MKL 35 N GAD 20 W LGC 15 N TOI 20 N GZH. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW MOB 15 SE MSY 30 E 7R4 30 ESE LCH 45 SW POE 50 SSW SHV DEQ 15 W FYV 20 ENE GMJ 25 N UMN 10 NE SGF 30 S TBN 25 NNW POF 25 NE POF 45 SSE PAH 45 S BNA 30 W CHA 25 WSW CHA 30 SSE RMG 30 E LGC 20 ENE CSG 40 NW ABY 20 ENE DHN CEW 35 SSW MOB. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ESE GLS 35 N GLS LFK 45 SE PRX 25 ESE MLC 20 SSE TUL BVO 20 SSE CNU 25 E CNU 55 NNE JLN 15 S VIH 20 N CGI HOP CHA 45 NNW VDI 30 WNW VDI 35 SSE MCN 35 NNE ABY 35 WSW ABY 40 SSW PFN. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ESE CRP 15 N ALI 40 ENE COT 15 SSW SAT 25 SSE AUS 20 WNW CLL 30 ENE CRS 30 W PRX 25 WSW MLC 25 N CQB 30 NNW PNC 30 SSW HUT 25 WNW HUT 25 ENE SLN 15 SE STJ 20 SW IRK 35 N ALN 50 E SLO 25 N BWG 65 S TYS 25 W AGS 40 S AGS VDI 25 W VDI 55 SSE MCN 30 NE ABY 30 SW ABY 50 WSW AAF. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW LRD 35 NNW HDO 55 W TPL 30 SSE FTW 20 NW GYI ADM 30 SSE OKC 10 NW OKC 25 N CSM 10 N AMA 40 ENE TCC 25 E RTN 20 NE GLD 25 NNE LNK 20 S CID 40 WNW VPZ 30 WSW FDY 10 ENE ZZV 25 SSW EKN 30 ESE LYH 25 SW ECG 55 NE HSE 90 ENE HSE ...CONT... 95 E SSI 30 WNW SSI 15 SSW VLD 35 SSW TLH 25 S AAF 70 SSW AAF.