DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0731 AM CDT WED MAR 17 2021 VALID TIME 171300Z - 181200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 28809373 29619450 31429528 32639498 33739486 35369505 36069586 36609602 37109577 37489486 37779374 37949177 37008736 35818528 34208315 33458245 32838209 32268237 31968331 31798380 31188455 29468578 0.05 28599026 29569311 30669394 31629436 33609443 35349444 35979463 36499483 37039473 37319440 37509387 37629226 37419061 37078920 36458751 35298552 34208414 32808258 32408289 31978396 31348480 29788600 0.10 33829402 35849411 36499413 36999368 37059285 36989186 36969066 36438866 35048571 33898464 33258413 32608398 31998453 31478507 30718645 30208817 29879009 29839134 29949279 30719354 32069396 33829402 0.15 33939264 35229262 35859167 35889041 35488866 34228548 32968523 32118582 31648701 30998857 30818981 30529180 30829283 31809318 33319265 33939264 0.30 33069191 34378987 34358871 33998739 33688662 33388636 33098633 32748656 32488740 32408826 32038940 32069175 33069191 SIGN 32509325 33609304 35569296 36219176 36168971 35738819 34528579 34188542 32978520 31878592 30428909 30229129 30609293 31669340 32509325 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 27529593 28239713 28789726 29379713 30129629 31399529 32669496 33829486 35359523 35879633 36589645 37499582 38529463 39329257 39249025 38658801 37518657 36178512 34938391 33448241 32898207 32288238 31898355 31188455 29468578 0.15 29029390 29859468 31299473 33709442 35309441 35929465 36569524 37009522 37529476 37829414 37939172 37428934 36568737 35378560 33548338 32888262 32488287 31998398 31368475 29778600 0.30 35649401 36599418 37209401 37359317 37199066 36428837 34988563 33698440 33268416 32628399 31598488 31078575 30678662 29868994 29839141 29949279 30739374 31769404 35649401 SIGN 34788836 34228692 33338632 32568645 31868680 30898890 30509197 30899285 31879320 33509235 34329120 34749010 34788836 && ... WIND ... 0.05 28319373 29739539 30659550 31479523 32749494 32919495 33839486 35349521 35859629 36589647 37249583 38059454 38409278 38349121 37788886 36858660 35728469 34388334 33808278 33318234 32858207 32298236 31798375 31188455 29468578 0.15 28308916 29479309 30859471 31419474 33499441 35439443 35929465 36569520 37039518 37479461 37689394 37739290 37469041 36618748 35128527 33728360 32898260 32478287 32028391 31418471 29778602 0.30 35028570 33738443 33248414 32638399 31668483 31108569 30708651 30278830 29909014 30309199 30709296 31819400 34359402 35969411 36549416 37209397 37359301 37209064 36458844 35028570 SIGN 36179358 36909317 36969089 36308887 34888629 33948538 32428516 31638558 30708780 30279126 30369211 30699295 31579382 32849389 34329386 35459384 36179358 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... HIGH 32999188 34408982 34358878 34198806 33868702 33708662 33388634 33088636 32738657 32508740 32338839 32058937 32009053 32079174 32999188 MDT 31628703 30968865 30529183 30829283 31779318 33319265 35229264 35879170 35889026 35478861 34188545 32958522 32108580 31628703 ENH 30208840 29879009 29859160 29949279 30619369 31759404 34469400 35899409 36599424 37209398 37339327 37339209 37159058 36999007 36478849 35478652 35058571 34858553 33768451 33238413 32618399 31958454 31438513 30698654 30208840 SLGT 29039390 29879468 31319476 33469443 35339442 35929463 36539522 36979521 37459483 37729380 37949175 37508954 36628750 35128526 32848259 32398287 32208351 31998397 31398473 29768602 MRGL 27629610 28279714 28699724 29309716 29799670 30129629 31379529 32699496 33809484 35349525 35889637 36539643 37479586 38559459 39309257 39249036 38678803 37368639 34908386 33398240 32818208 32268237 32158276 31978329 31788378 31188454 29418582 TSTM 31277981 31318189 30558338 29948451 29348504 28778537 99999999 27029668 27589819 27969852 28569861 29489797 30959681 32169600 33199581 34609634 34879704 34949796 34649899 34560031 34630152 34900248 35350300 36070286 36900214 38160089 39549917 40589710 41669187 41578775 40838423 39998174 38557995 37157874 36057653 35837503 35827421 && THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE MLU 15 W UOX TUP 40 E TUP 25 NW BHM 10 NE BHM 25 ESE BHM 40 SSE BHM 30 NNW MGM 25 WNW SEM 20 E MEI 40 N PIB 50 ENE HEZ 35 SSE MLU 35 NNE MLU. THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N GZH 30 NW MOB 25 NNE LFT 25 SE POE IER 10 ENE ELD 25 E RUE 10 NNW BVX 20 E JBR 20 ESE MKL 20 SW RMG 10 WSW LGC 20 NE TOI 15 N GZH. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW MOB 15 SE MSY 30 E 7R4 30 ESE LCH 45 SW POE 50 SSW SHV 35 NE DEQ 10 SSE FYV 25 SW UMN 20 NNW UMN 10 NE SGF 30 S TBN 25 NNW POF 25 NE POF 45 SSE PAH 45 S BNA 30 W CHA 25 WSW CHA 10 NNW ATL 30 SSE ATL 20 WSW MCN 35 NW ABY 20 ENE DHN CEW 35 SSW MOB. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ESE GLS 35 N GLS LFK 25 W TXK FSM 25 WSW FYV 25 WSW GMJ 35 NW GMJ 30 NW JLN 40 NNW SGF 15 S VIH 20 N CGI HOP CHA 45 NNW VDI 30 WNW VDI 35 SSE MCN 35 NNE ABY 35 WSW ABY 40 SSW PFN. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 S PSX 35 ESE NIR 20 WSW VCT 35 NNW VCT 60 SSW CLL 30 S CLL 35 WNW LFK 25 NNW GGG 30 SW DEQ 25 SSE MKO 30 ENE CQB 30 SW BVO 25 SW CNU 20 SSE OJC 40 NNW COU 30 NW ALN 50 E SLO 25 N BWG 65 S TYS 25 W AGS 40 S AGS VDI 25 W VDI 55 SSE MCN 30 NE ABY 30 SW ABY 50 WSW AAF. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 E SSI 30 WNW SSI 15 SSW VLD 35 SSW TLH 25 S AAF 70 SSW AAF ...CONT... 70 SE CRP 15 SW ALI 35 WNW ALI 40 ENE COT 15 SSE BAZ 35 NW CLL 25 ENE CRS 35 SW PRX 35 WSW MLC 40 N ADM 10 S CHK 15 E LTS 10 N CDS 35 NNE PVW 50 WSW AMA 35 ENE TCC 20 WNW DHT 15 WSW EHA 20 NNW GCK 35 ENE HLC 25 SW LNK 15 SSW CID 40 WNW VPZ 30 WSW FDY 10 ENE ZZV 25 SSW EKN 30 ESE LYH 25 SW ECG 55 NE HSE 90 ENE HSE.