DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0756 PM CDT TUE APR 27 2021 VALID TIME 280100Z - 281200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 39210193 39380230 39880248 40240253 40420237 40500164 40500017 39929921 39449952 38930014 39160121 39210193 0.02 29710177 30360138 30960126 31530134 32430196 33520183 34790110 36499985 38299674 38949528 39049429 38829377 38349356 37769362 35219533 31479863 30069951 29169993 28580056 0.05 29650149 29890138 30150110 30090063 29950037 29720023 29450026 29180046 28970072 0.05 34059957 34459948 35119885 35269845 35229805 35019773 34629765 34149803 33759858 33769919 34059957 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 29610234 30660185 31550205 32380244 33700238 35840131 38109957 38580003 38870133 38910189 39220255 39670279 40520289 41030247 41690063 42249775 43109506 44839095 45458836 45428708 45238588 44988511 44358516 43508602 40988911 39289129 37499257 30429657 28299868 27640001 0.15 29670181 30320140 30990122 31540135 32130175 32490198 33570184 34640119 36549977 38409661 38929535 39049432 38809377 38389360 37789364 35209533 33179714 31519858 30619832 29599833 28729893 28479943 28100032 0.15 39230212 39340232 39930251 40220257 40420247 40640221 40800146 41369966 41339886 40989865 39479945 38930019 39140125 39230212 SIGN 28870058 29430103 29760154 29870144 30460092 30800028 31129962 31039909 30519877 29769870 29349915 29089952 28929994 28850037 28870058 SIGN 32170058 32190092 32350110 32860108 33640041 34599948 35399843 35859755 35849714 35559690 35069705 33669845 32449979 32170058 && ... WIND ... 0.05 38880133 38900187 39270257 39670279 40470287 40700277 40990249 41710041 41999921 41659838 40869797 39339879 38829923 38600002 38880133 0.05 29540238 30650183 31530204 32340247 33610241 35900127 37179986 39909534 40369413 40349303 39909226 39269219 37759296 35069467 31409765 29969758 28889806 28219876 27560018 0.15 29440140 30040107 30780093 31540100 32480151 33300148 34640117 36509983 38299671 38949533 39069439 38789375 38389359 37769367 35129542 33149721 31479858 30609830 29579835 28669898 28050041 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 29690177 30370138 31000124 31610137 32440196 33510188 34570125 36529977 38359663 38949528 39069434 38809375 38369359 37729365 35179535 33469689 31489856 30689832 29579833 28709893 28060037 SLGT 39150134 39200207 39310229 39830248 40210255 40390248 40650218 40800148 41379964 41349891 40969864 39469948 38910020 39150134 MRGL 29640230 30710184 31530202 32340244 33670238 35710139 37090038 38109957 38580001 38860130 38930193 39210254 39660278 40510290 41030247 41690061 42319766 43109504 44889086 45308906 45468838 45458738 45208571 44988513 44378516 43548598 42648710 40918923 40318998 39219135 36439325 32759533 30399660 28299866 27610006 TSTM 28700332 28990317 30540255 31360256 32220300 33930300 35650231 36920142 37260143 37420167 37980262 37870310 37740379 37270460 36480543 34900607 33360680 32320739 31720777 31020813 99999999 32021410 32411297 33181269 33581304 33761331 33931379 34001420 34151469 34321540 34661611 35321621 36101588 38011306 40111072 41420912 41960823 42240761 42580620 42470386 42230149 43259754 43969509 45559084 46108799 46168345 99999999 44437688 43637391 42977320 42057304 41787383 42237540 42217823 42088190 41218489 39978648 37348842 35228974 32799190 31149381 29379548 28269642 25389841 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE 6R6 55 ENE 6R6 50 WSW SJT 45 S BGS 30 WNW BGS 10 SSW LBB 40 NE PVW 65 WSW AVK 25 W EMP 20 ESE TOP 15 ESE MKC 10 WNW SZL 25 S SZL 40 NNW SGF 30 NE MLC 20 SW GYI 30 SE BWD 45 NW AUS 10 ENE SAT 25 NE COT 65 WNW LRD. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE GLD 10 ESE ITR ITR 40 NNW ITR 35 E AKO 40 ENE AKO 30 WNW IML 20 NNE IML BBW 35 SSE BUB 15 W GRI 20 ENE HLC 40 SSW HLC 25 SE GLD. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S 6R6 50 NNE 6R6 30 SSE MAF 30 NNW MAF 30 W LBB BGD 35 E LBL 30 NE DDC 55 S HLC 40 SSE GLD 30 SE ITR 15 W ITR 40 NW ITR 30 NE AKO 25 E SNY 35 SE MHN 25 NNW OFK SPW 30 E EAU 30 SE RHI 30 SSW IMT 25 SW ESC 35 N TVC 30 NE TVC 25 W HTL 30 NNE MKG 35 ESE RAC 30 NE PIA 30 SSW PIA 50 S UIN 10 NNW HRO 30 N TYR 20 SW CLL 35 ESE COT 35 W LRD. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 SW 6R6 95 SW 6R6 35 SE FST 35 NE FST 35 NNE INK 35 SSE CVS 30 SSE DHT 15 NNE GUY 30 WNW LBL 30 NNE EHA LAA 25 ESE LHX 25 SW LHX 15 W TAD 55 WSW RTN 30 ESE ABQ 30 ENE TCS 20 ENE DMN 35 S DMN 90 SSW DMN ...CONT... 50 SE YUM 40 SSW GBN 15 N GBN 50 NNW GBN 65 NNW GBN 60 ENE BLH 40 NE BLH 40 N BLH 55 SW EED 40 ESE DAG 45 NE DAG 40 S DRA 20 N CDC 35 N PUC 15 SSW RKS 50 ENE RKS 35 NW RWL 25 SSE CPR 30 NNE TOR 25 WNW MHN 25 NNW YKN 30 NE OTG 55 NNE EAU 20 NNE IMT 50 ESE ANJ ...CONT... 50 NW ART 25 NW GFL 35 SE GFL 20 WSW BAF 10 NNE POU 30 E BGM 35 NE BFD 45 N CLE 20 NE FWA 20 NNW IND 25 NE PAH 20 NE MEM 20 NNE MLU 40 W POE 15 N LBX 35 SSW PSX 55 SSW MFE.