DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0249 PM CDT TUE MAY 04 2021 VALID TIME 042000Z - 051200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 29948905 29919186 30109406 30339419 30499412 31329266 32379181 32929179 33519171 35249093 36988902 38658517 38668378 38038393 36708567 35868585 35168556 34878474 35028335 35248216 35018102 34368002 33477991 32668014 32308136 32128321 31198469 30328595 29948905 0.02 37067863 37417886 37987872 38957821 40077646 40007544 39307502 38347523 37417570 36867641 36737734 36877820 37067863 0.05 30439207 30599262 30909257 32469132 33039095 33749013 33888951 34198898 34208729 33708538 33058478 32128512 31658545 30508651 30358864 30429057 30439207 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 31848015 31048569 29918943 28499072 99999999 29379306 29439457 29549502 29809526 29999525 30419484 30759432 31429301 32559217 33749207 35429127 37388909 39478431 40858198 42327995 42617955 42857875 42797738 42607651 42187603 41447542 39667496 37297481 0.15 30239281 30209412 30329418 30479414 30819353 31349263 32399182 32819180 33529171 35219092 36888914 37088878 37618764 38058639 37988582 37638556 37268563 36508729 35768837 34688896 33828879 33108814 32008786 31188840 30689035 30459169 30239281 && ... WIND ... 0.05 31848015 30878364 29408560 99999999 29399324 29419459 29539502 29799524 29989523 30429480 30779426 31479297 32549216 33719206 34159189 35399130 37338932 39168579 41958034 42837870 42887744 42687621 41967534 40947463 37467472 0.15 30358594 29948884 29948961 29909196 29989280 30129409 30339420 30489413 30759361 31349262 32379183 33009179 33539170 35249092 37058893 37738734 38108634 38078512 37778487 36958556 36278602 35538661 34588668 34438612 34888474 34768423 34508277 34968105 34887997 34347949 32858003 32698008 32318078 32118322 31158477 30358594 0.15 37508036 38517858 39167705 39217598 38837565 37857572 37127590 36557640 36037737 35967848 35937975 36288079 36758097 37508036 0.30 30439206 30609262 30669263 30919258 31259229 32469131 33039096 33739015 33938903 33828832 33898712 33958568 33818491 32898421 32228461 30478739 30348822 30429106 30439206 0.45 30889026 30859153 30889184 31029198 31279183 31669148 32239101 32719059 33278862 33478787 33318641 32718595 31718638 30908876 30889026 SIGN 31098813 30788921 30799109 30889185 31029196 31279183 32019118 32449086 32719060 33008970 33258864 32908781 32358719 31428747 31098813 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 32908781 32358719 31428747 31348763 31228788 30918875 30859160 30879184 31039195 31289181 31979122 32369092 32699061 32809037 33048945 33268867 32908781 ENH 32898421 32228461 30478739 30348822 30429106 30439206 30619264 30919257 31259228 32469132 33019097 33759015 33938903 33828832 33898712 33958568 33818491 32898421 SLGT 38837565 37857572 37127590 36557640 36037737 35967848 35937975 36288079 36758097 37508036 38517858 39167705 39217598 38837565 SLGT 37778487 36958556 36278602 35538661 34588668 34438612 34888474 34768423 34508277 34968105 34887997 34347949 32858003 32698008 32318078 32118322 31158477 30358594 29948884 29948961 29909196 29989280 30109408 30329420 30489413 30839348 31339264 32389182 32929179 33509171 35199095 36998900 37568768 37618764 37618763 37738734 38108634 38078512 37778487 MRGL 29389319 29419465 29529504 29819525 29979525 30429482 30799423 31449301 31479297 32529217 33679207 34049193 35439128 37358927 39168579 41798071 42327995 42607955 42607955 42857875 42847853 42887744 42687621 41967534 40947463 38697468 99999999 31688071 30878364 29418559 TSTM 45517485 43137254 41436910 99999999 31208072 30538280 29898329 29558373 29228443 99999999 26487955 25627999 25568073 26198140 27388173 28508198 29498164 30408083 99999999 25969888 27829913 29499879 30619822 33319580 35149571 36679563 37729471 38649280 39139065 39548873 40148662 41628344 42548197 99999999 49880874 48050725 46960607 45270324 42400203 38870214 38290396 39080699 40300876 41300962 42711154 43191364 44491554 46761505 47471610 48561673 49571692 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW TCL 10 W SEM 25 W GZH 35 W GZH 45 NNE MOB 35 WNW MOB 50 NNE LFT 45 SE ESF 35 SE ESF 30 ESE ESF 25 NNE HEZ 55 NNE HEZ 60 SSE GLH 50 SSW GWO 50 SE GWO 30 SSW CBM 25 SSW TCL. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW MCN 30 SE CSG 10 W PNS 25 S MOB 55 WNW MSY 15 NNW LFT 45 SE POE 35 ESE POE 10 S ESF 40 E MLU 30 S GLH 20 NNW GWO 30 SSW TUP 15 NNE CBM 30 NW BHM 25 E GAD 30 WNW ATL 35 WNW MCN. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW DOV 15 WSW WAL 20 NE ORF 25 NNW ECG 30 ENE RWI 20 ENE RDU 15 SE GSO 50 WNW GSO 30 SSW PSK 20 S SSU 25 NE SHD 20 W BWI 30 WNW DOV 25 SSW DOV. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW LEX 45 E BWG 40 ENE BNA 40 S BNA HSV 30 N GAD 30 ESE CHA 60 ESE CHA AND 20 SSW CLT 40 SW SOP 15 NE FLO CHS 15 SSW CHS 25 ENE SAV 50 SSE MCN 30 NE MAI 20 WNW PFN 35 SSE GPT 30 SSE ASD 15 NE 7R4 25 ESE LCH 10 NNW BPT 25 NNW BPT 35 N BPT 25 SW POE 20 WSW ESF 15 SE MLU 30 NNE MLU 10 SSE LLQ 50 SSW JBR 15 WSW PAH 30 WSW OWB 25 WSW OWB 25 WSW OWB 10 W OWB 35 W SDF 30 W LEX 25 SW LEX. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S LCH 10 NE GLS 15 ESE HOU 10 N HOU 20 N HOU 45 ESE UTS 45 SE LFK 20 SSE IER 20 SSE IER 10 W MLU 20 W LLQ 10 S PBF 30 SE BVX 20 ENE CGI 45 E BMG 35 SW ERI 20 NE ERI 35 NNW JHW 35 NNW JHW BUF 10 ESE BUF 20 SE ROC 20 NE ITH 35 WNW MSV 30 NW EWR 50 ENE SBY ...CONT... 40 SE SAV 15 SSE MGR 40 WSW AAF. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 N MSS 20 NW EEN 50 ENE ACK ...CONT... 45 E SSI 35 ESE VLD 20 NNW CTY 40 W CTY 50 SE AAF ...CONT... 35 ESE PBI 20 SE MIA 35 WSW MIA 25 E APF 30 SW AGR 40 W ORL 40 SSW SGJ 40 NE SGJ ...CONT... 45 WSW MFE 30 NE LRD 20 W SAT 40 NW AUS 30 SW PRX 20 NNE MLC 20 ESE BVO 40 NNW JLN 35 WSW COU 30 NNW STL 20 SSE DEC 25 SE LAF 20 E TOL 45 E MTC ...CONT... 105 NNE HVR 30 WSW GGW 40 NNW MLS 25 SSE 2WX 45 ENE AIA 25 SSE ITR 30 E PUB 10 SW ASE 40 ESE VEL 35 SW RKS 55 NE MLD 40 ESE SUN 40 SE MYL 45 WSW MSO 35 WSW 3TH 75 NNE GEG 140 NNE GEG.