DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0757 AM CDT SUN JUN 20 2021 VALID TIME 201300Z - 211200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 42878066 42087918 41427911 40808086 40458372 39528850 38589299 39079546 39769567 43659389 44409248 43939030 43108737 44108439 43958307 43208209 42878066 0.02 30388033 29598252 29708528 31028494 32158342 33058268 34108241 35757918 36177741 36267613 36277494 0.05 41918280 41148365 40598618 40299070 40289218 41119243 41889177 42569082 42638906 42578727 43318464 43188318 42558245 41918280 0.05 30958085 30528226 31278353 33358196 34747972 35267711 35377501 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 44648106 41908073 39788368 38648748 37879229 37429560 37069870 37959923 39269716 40119653 41369587 43209517 44999506 45429270 45039107 43988856 43808734 44128615 45128391 45098256 44648106 0.05 37840383 38460488 41520566 42000494 41360368 40170219 39210228 38280299 37840383 0.15 39829568 43659390 44399248 43018677 43128539 42988422 42548319 41448370 40878587 40188894 39119138 38579285 39049542 39829568 SIGN 41309310 42349135 42628907 41958820 41208831 39898966 38579286 38779393 39819362 41309310 && ... WIND ... 0.05 37099875 37969926 39229719 40029653 41359591 43219516 44999505 45439266 45029102 43988856 43828734 44078618 45128391 45088235 44518063 42897650 42007501 40577516 39617580 38867753 37917913 38518033 39677992 40168071 39158659 37939203 37389556 37099875 0.05 30378041 29578257 29698530 30998496 32128343 33048269 34078244 35757924 36177744 36277628 36287496 0.05 38500487 41530566 41990501 41340367 40060204 39010096 37960121 37270256 37830383 38500487 0.15 39069550 39729571 43639395 44409248 43929026 43038681 43578435 43278284 42878050 41977903 41397917 40778087 40508380 39348918 38589299 39069550 0.15 30978083 30538228 31258355 33348195 34737975 35287707 35357506 0.30 42279102 42408706 42958423 42578296 41328318 40868602 40289071 40729136 42279102 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 40868599 40299072 40719136 42289102 42418711 42958423 42588298 41328319 40868599 SLGT 39358927 38589299 39059545 39749571 43649390 44399251 43919029 43028683 43578433 43268277 42908060 41947902 41387916 40788085 40498375 39358927 SLGT 30938089 30518229 31268354 33348197 34737975 35297706 35377500 MRGL 42877645 42017506 40647513 39537590 38847755 37947914 38518036 39657990 40168068 37929206 37389564 37069875 37959927 39269714 40049651 41319591 43179517 45009506 45439266 45039107 43998859 43828734 44098621 45138396 45118250 44468059 42877645 MRGL 30378045 29598259 29708531 31008497 32138342 33048269 34088241 35757924 36177744 36277628 36297531 MRGL 38480486 40150530 41530567 42010497 41350368 40060204 38970096 38000119 37280262 37840387 38480486 TSTM 44677583 44577523 43977362 43297282 41987248 40807122 99999999 48279065 47759070 47238995 47188749 47108613 46968491 99999999 49280973 48140780 46650539 45570364 44640137 44360031 44529902 45239843 46889799 48019808 48629787 49279741 99999999 25929662 26769792 27899884 29149867 30469776 31719619 33279366 34019238 34639060 36808637 37428601 37938608 38138692 37089328 36529666 35729879 33610138 32220363 31860539 31890793 32230893 33230981 34231122 35101162 35731113 36061000 36210899 36490832 36980795 37960851 40340729 41600740 42660898 43051068 44241242 46091468 47211567 49181649 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W FWA 35 NE UIN 15 WSW BRL 15 WSW DBQ 40 WNW BEH 20 ENE LAN 10 W MTC 35 NE FDY 45 W FWA. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW DEC 30 ESE SZL 10 E TOP 25 SSW FNB 25 E FRM 35 N RST VOK 30 WSW MKG 15 WNW MBS 40 SSE BAX 60 NNW ERI 20 SE JHW 20 NW DUJ 30 ESE CAK 35 S FDY 40 SSW DEC. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE SSI 35 W JAX 20 NE MGR AGS 40 N FLO 15 N EWN 35 ENE HSE. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW SYR 25 NNW MSV 15 E ABE 20 WSW ILG 30 W DCA 25 SSW SHD 40 SW EKN MGW HLG 10 NNE TBN 20 SSW CNU 20 SSW P28 40 ENE DDC 25 WNW MHK 20 SE BIE OMA SPW 30 N RWF 45 NE MSP 25 ENE EAU OSH 25 SE MTW 15 S MBL 20 W APN 50 E APN 130 ENE BAX 25 SW SYR. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ENE SGJ 20 WSW GNV 15 W AAF 15 NE MAI 40 SSE MCN 45 WSW AGS 35 SSE AND 25 WSW RDU 25 SE RZZ ECG 50 E ECG. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW PUB 25 SW FCL 15 N LAR 40 W TOR 35 S BFF 40 SW IML 50 SE GLD 25 W GCK SPD 25 SW LHX 25 NW PUB. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE ART 30 SW MSS 40 SE SLK 20 SSE RUT 10 ENE BDL 30 SE BID ...CONT... 40 NNW GNA 15 W GNA 40 SSE GNA 45 N MQT 80 ENE MQT 40 NW ANJ ...CONT... 50 N HVR 55 W GGW 30 NE MLS 2WX 45 NNE PHP PIR 40 WNW HON 15 S ABR 35 E JMS 40 E DVL 45 WSW HCO 40 NNW HCO ...CONT... 50 E BRO 45 NNE MFE 45 ENE LRD 30 SSW SAT 10 NNW AUS 25 SSE CRS 25 ESE TXK 30 WSW PBF 45 SW MEM 10 SSE BWG 40 NE BWG 25 SW SDF 30 NNE OWB 10 SSE SGF 30 ESE PNC 35 NE CSM 25 E LBB 40 E CNM 35 W GDP 30 SSW DMN 55 WSW SVC 30 NNW SAD 60 SSW INW FLG 50 NE FLG 80 WNW GUP 50 NNW GUP 20 SSW FMN 15 SW DRO 45 N CEZ 15 SE CAG 15 SW RWL 15 SW LND 40 S JAC 25 SSW MQM 45 E P69 30 SSW 3TH 120 NNE GEG.