DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0237 PM CDT SUN JUN 20 2021 VALID TIME 202000Z - 211200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 42878066 42087918 41427911 40808086 40458372 39528850 38589299 39079546 39609567 42459449 44549436 45119306 44839146 43748941 43108737 44108439 43958307 43208209 42878066 0.02 30388033 29598252 29708528 31028494 32158342 33058268 34108241 35757918 36177741 36267613 36277494 0.05 41918280 41148365 40598618 40289076 41079223 42909297 43819221 43789125 42638906 42578727 43318464 43188318 42558245 41918280 0.05 31438074 31608145 32068236 32518264 33328195 34747972 35267711 35377501 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 43828725 44308408 44348188 44168100 41908073 39788368 38648748 37879229 37419563 37069873 37050130 37240255 38260450 38790445 39600345 39620210 39110099 38409993 38629823 39639617 41369522 43209517 44999506 45429270 45039107 43988856 43828725 0.15 39799574 42509446 44559436 45069303 44829172 43708917 43018677 43128539 42988422 42608296 41318319 40898594 40188894 39119138 38579285 39049542 39799574 SIGN 41309310 42349135 42628907 41958820 41208831 39898966 38579286 38779393 39819362 41309310 && ... WIND ... 0.05 37099883 37070135 37260260 37870390 38260452 38840446 39600345 39590203 38459989 38659819 39679612 41419519 43219516 44999505 45439266 45029102 43988856 43798736 44298411 44338222 43787869 42897650 42007501 40577516 39617580 38867753 37917913 38518033 39677992 40168071 39158659 37939203 37389556 37099883 0.05 30378041 29578257 29698530 30998496 32128343 33048269 34078244 35757924 36177744 36277628 36287496 0.15 39069550 39709569 42559446 44509434 45079311 44839154 43648911 43038681 43578435 43278284 42878050 41977903 41397917 40778087 40508380 39348918 38589299 39069550 0.15 31438068 31598142 32058235 32568263 33428198 34737975 35287707 35357506 0.30 42279102 42408706 42958423 42578296 41328318 40868602 40289071 40729136 42279102 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 40868599 40299072 40719136 42289102 42418711 42958423 42588298 41328319 40868599 SLGT 31418061 31588143 31958210 32038235 32548260 33368196 34737975 35297706 35377500 SLGT 39358927 38589299 39059545 39749571 42379450 44559439 45079311 44779149 43618896 43058683 43578433 43268277 42908060 41947902 41387916 40788085 40498375 39358927 MRGL 30378045 29598259 29708531 31008497 32138342 33048269 34088241 35757924 36177744 36277628 36297531 MRGL 42877645 42017506 40647513 39537590 38847755 37947914 38518036 39657990 40168068 37929206 37389564 37079879 37030134 37260257 37850390 38260450 38840448 39620343 39610208 39030091 38429991 38669812 39699608 41319524 43119509 45009506 45439266 45039107 43998859 43838737 44318390 44328209 43727851 42877645 TSTM 30831059 32421028 34091109 35101162 35731113 36061000 36210899 36750825 38160715 39570711 41440829 43051068 44241242 46091468 47211567 49181649 99999999 49071123 47030940 46290724 45060511 43540253 42290079 41649966 41759865 42669799 44369731 45959674 46899453 47229129 47128829 47068590 46868376 99999999 45777488 44987397 43977362 43077300 41987248 40607096 TSTM 25839659 26679785 27619862 27989881 28859873 29709816 31489646 32549459 33349370 33679238 34079139 33969022 33408912 32978781 32748673 32838622 33308554 34218460 35298405 36468314 37188242 37698179 38448135 38838149 39238234 39028373 38498504 37708768 37289055 36969356 36579528 36329713 35829857 35319944 34810004 34080097 32630193 32040301 31300526 30610599 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W FWA 35 NE UIN 15 WSW BRL 15 WSW DBQ 40 WNW BEH 20 ENE LAN 10 W MTC 35 NE FDY 45 W FWA. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ENE SSI 30 N SSI 25 SE VDI 10 S VDI 30 NNW VDI AGS 40 N FLO 15 N EWN 35 ENE HSE. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW DEC 30 ESE SZL 10 E TOP 25 SSW FNB 20 SW FOD 35 NW MKT 15 NNE MSP EAU 35 SW OSH 30 WSW MKG 15 WNW MBS 40 SSE BAX 60 NNW ERI 20 SE JHW 20 NW DUJ 30 ESE CAK 35 S FDY 40 SSW DEC. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ENE SGJ 20 WSW GNV 15 W AAF 15 NE MAI 40 SSE MCN 45 WSW AGS 35 SSE AND 25 WSW RDU 25 SE RZZ ECG 50 E ECG. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW SYR 25 NNW MSV 15 E ABE 20 WSW ILG 30 W DCA 25 SSW SHD 40 SW EKN MGW HLG 10 NNE TBN 20 SSW CNU 20 SW P28 20 W LBL SPD 25 WSW LHX PUB 15 E COS 30 NNE LIC 25 NW GLD 50 ESE GLD 45 N DDC 25 WSW SLN 35 SW FNB 35 E OMA SPW 30 N RWF 45 NE MSP 25 ENE EAU OSH 25 SE MTW 25 WSW OSC 60 NE BAX 55 NNE BUF 25 SW SYR. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW FHU 45 ENE TUS 65 W SOW FLG 50 NE FLG 80 WNW GUP 50 NNW GUP FMN 30 SSW GUC 10 WSW EGE 40 ESE RKS 40 S JAC 25 SSW MQM 45 E P69 30 SSW 3TH 120 NNE GEG ...CONT... 60 ENE CTB LWT 65 W MLS 30 SSE 4BQ 45 SE RAP 20 NE MHN 15 N BBW 25 E BUB 35 WSW YKN 25 W BKX 45 NNW VVV 40 NNW BRD BFW 10 ESE CMX 85 WNW ANJ 40 NE ANJ ...CONT... 60 N MSS 45 E MSS 40 SE SLK 30 S RUT 10 ENE BDL 50 SE BID. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E BRO 40 NE MFE 35 WSW ALI 40 SE COT 40 NE COT 10 W BAZ 40 S CRS 15 NE GGG 20 ESE TXK 35 W LLQ 30 ESE PBF 35 NNW GWO 40 WSW CBM 20 SSW TCL 30 NNE SEM 40 NNE MGM 25 SE ANB 35 ESE RMG 35 S TYS 40 W TRI 50 N TRI 35 W BKW 15 ENE CRW 35 N CRW UNI 40 E LUK 40 NW LEX 25 SSW EVV 35 S FAM 20 ENE UMN 30 W GMJ 30 S PNC 50 NE CSM 15 W CSM 30 NNE CDS 45 E PVW 40 NW BGS 20 NNE INK 45 SW GDP 85 SSE ELP.