DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1207 AM CDT FRI JUL 09 2021 VALID TIME 091200Z - 101200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 39377340 41577231 42686977 0.02 40389737 40989784 41759703 42249615 42359444 41979256 40909144 38588945 37949020 37899139 38469327 39279538 39959666 40389737 0.05 38819265 39769560 40469615 41569582 41719483 41589351 39829142 38749056 38509123 38819265 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 46670947 47010874 46820745 46280623 44950352 44260112 43839788 43609598 43329288 42599063 41388867 38968695 37808668 36838707 36408792 36398949 36819107 37349245 37969462 38609811 38820150 39180253 40060354 41940466 43520640 44650705 45480882 45990941 46670947 0.15 41470360 42530485 43350550 44060581 44460557 44440501 43520398 43240153 42959769 42599374 41919253 38908950 37959010 37839138 38159268 38679403 39059703 39540001 40700214 41470360 SIGN 41459484 41329364 40989263 40439283 39629467 40029589 40789611 41459484 SIGN 41570360 42580482 43330543 44080576 44410553 44360501 43450387 42490211 41250126 40740144 40770219 41570360 && ... WIND ... 0.05 41240424 42020472 43560640 44680707 45490883 46000944 46690947 47000877 46820745 45850541 44920351 44300100 43939881 43579531 43309298 42639075 41408871 38958686 37888671 36978702 36368792 36358931 36789112 37519291 37969443 38559782 38770136 39240265 40030351 41240424 0.05 36067491 37017606 38317660 39287650 40267596 41347495 42007379 42727178 43076961 0.15 41500373 42560488 43340552 44060579 44470559 44450504 43530394 43240145 43089877 42679404 42169183 41519053 40688953 39598871 38468807 37578831 37188897 37269032 38139268 38799449 39059721 39560013 40750226 41500373 0.30 41559363 40849071 39838953 38648947 38079073 39789444 40449490 41069523 41319484 41559363 SIGN 40799149 39028989 38069066 39409345 39549516 40119578 40779545 41369489 41289291 40799149 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 40849071 39838953 38648947 38079073 39789444 40449490 41069523 41319484 41559363 40849071 SLGT 41510372 42540486 43370552 44080581 44470557 44450501 43530394 43270164 43089874 42679404 42169183 41519053 40688953 39598871 38468807 37578831 37188897 37269032 38139268 38709422 38999648 39059721 39479955 39540001 39540003 39560013 40750226 41510372 MRGL 36557551 37017606 38317660 39287650 40267596 41347495 41997379 42727178 43007005 MRGL 46820745 46280623 44950352 44740274 44300100 44099975 43879810 43579531 43459418 43329288 42729101 42639075 42629072 42599063 41388867 40838826 38958686 38008673 37808668 36838707 36508773 36368792 36358931 36398946 36398949 36478979 36789112 37399262 37969462 38529760 38559782 38770136 38810148 38820150 39180253 39210256 39240265 40030351 40050352 40060354 40600385 41240424 41950466 43520640 44650705 45480882 45750913 46000944 46690947 47000877 47000876 47010874 46820745 TSTM 32001393 34641405 36511358 37271321 37731297 37981273 38411195 38451137 38161105 37131077 36901045 36980982 38210826 40360686 42010621 42990603 44521039 45331299 46521517 47811686 49441904 99999999 39061827 37401751 36741799 36791876 37822000 38722050 39442045 39761958 39061827 99999999 28750517 29800368 30910134 31649809 32199543 32719263 33219165 34259116 35199172 36129281 36899444 37229674 36929970 35990212 34760437 33870633 32280862 31150981 30231054 99999999 50039808 48179689 47149595 46079469 45309315 44169083 42628856 40698635 38978467 38708317 39648182 41578026 43027949 99999999 45477313 44887198 44737106 45466956 47466723 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E BRL 10 E SPI 20 ENE BLV 25 NW FAM 25 E STJ 35 SE SDA 25 NNE SDA 50 NE SDA DSM 20 E BRL. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW BFF 30 ESE DGW 45 N DGW 25 SW GCC 10 NNW GCC 25 ENE GCC 55 SW RAP 55 S PHP 40 N ONL 10 NE FOD 20 NNW CID MLI 10 E PIA 20 SSE DEC 40 NW EVV 40 NE PAH 15 WNW PAH 35 NNE POF 40 NW TBN 30 ESE OJC 15 SE MHK 30 W MHK 15 ENE HLC 15 NW HLC 15 NW HLC 20 NW HLC 35 WNW IML 25 SSW BFF. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ENE ECG 10 NE ORF 10 W NHK 10 NE BWI 40 SW ABE 25 SSW MSV 25 N POU 30 ESE EEN 40 E PSM. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 WNW MLS 20 WSW MLS 45 S 2WX 50 NNE RAP 35 ENE PHP 30 NW 9V9 MHE 15 ESE OTG 20 SE FRM 25 ENE MCW 25 NW DBQ 15 N DBQ 15 N DBQ 15 NNE DBQ MMO 40 NE BMI 20 SW BMG 30 NE OWB 25 ENE OWB 25 NE CKV 20 SW HOP 35 SW HOP 25 NNE DYR 25 N DYR 30 N DYR 40 NNW DYR 35 W POF 35 SW TBN 50 ENE CNU 20 S SLN 20 SSW SLN 45 SSE GLD 40 SSE GLD 40 SSE GLD 15 WSW ITR 15 W ITR 20 W ITR 20 WSW AKO 20 WSW AKO 20 WSW AKO 45 NW AKO 30 ENE CYS 25 WSW TOR 45 N CPR 10 SSW SHR 25 SSW BIL 30 W BIL 35 SSE 3HT 25 S LWT 35 E LWT 35 E LWT 35 E LWT 80 WNW MLS. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SE YUM 35 ESE EED 40 S SGU 25 ENE SGU CDC 30 NE CDC 50 NNE BCE 35 W 4HV 25 SW 4HV 30 S U17 45 SSE U17 45 SSW 4BL 30 SW MTJ 35 ESE CAG 55 ENE RWL 25 ENE CPR 35 ESE WEY 20 WNW DLN 30 NE P69 35 ENE GEG 70 NNE OMK ...CONT... 40 SE NFL 45 E BIH 50 SSE BIH 45 SSW BIH 45 NE MER 30 WSW TVL 35 W RNO 20 NNE RNO 40 SE NFL ...CONT... 130 SSW MRF 45 SSE MRF 60 WSW SJT 40 S SEP 10 S TYR 35 WNW MLU 30 S LLQ 45 E PBF 40 S BVX 20 WSW FLP 20 S JLN 40 NNE PNC 60 W AVK 25 E DHT 50 WSW TCC 35 ESE ONM 35 SW SVC 25 SSW DUG 95 S FHU ...CONT... 100 NNW HCO 20 NE GFK 20 N DTL 35 SW BRD 30 N MSP 30 NE LSE 25 E JVL 35 ENE LAF 15 WSW LUK 40 NW HTS 20 S ZZV 25 WNW FKL 40 W BUF ...CONT... 60 NW EFK 10 E EFK 10 NE BML 60 NW BGR 55 NE CAR.