DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0804 PM CDT WED JUL 28 2021 VALID TIME 290100Z - 291200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 47339476 48379327 48259180 46828861 42828462 42238448 41688478 41318733 41808909 42789102 44229334 44939415 45489437 45989445 46829458 47339476 0.05 44199221 44439260 45069328 45439356 45889381 47029421 47359357 46879204 46578970 45548826 44698745 43598770 42908784 42608866 42718959 43069036 43459106 44199221 0.10 45978979 45728918 44808826 44398806 43768806 43558813 43408822 43278838 43208855 43178890 43288939 43508998 44599199 45269279 46009302 46239206 46069109 45978979 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 48569111 45858692 43948581 42458574 41378714 41368814 42069018 44529497 45899521 46729534 47769568 48989301 0.05 38777948 39328031 40517982 40727854 40097668 39587586 37867519 37497508 37167610 36727684 36977764 37637796 38357859 38777948 0.15 43968757 43308756 42648776 42548829 42618922 42989088 43519191 44249338 44929414 45449439 46749458 47729485 48429338 48429155 46708881 45458801 43968757 0.30 46589232 46429110 45698930 45188902 44748931 44489024 44529110 44789215 45279309 45829331 46419319 46589232 SIGN 46179406 47259445 47399394 46579250 46299076 45888919 45178879 44618916 44269033 44319124 44459186 45319308 46179406 && ... WIND ... 0.05 37637448 37217611 36727679 36987763 37607790 38357852 38837960 39438146 39888447 40078565 40268668 40758827 44499509 46629532 47759567 48999306 99999999 42788043 40557751 39607585 38227445 0.05 33027817 32837996 33218160 33978210 34278171 33978052 34847900 34677806 34587681 34577551 0.15 44249337 44949415 45439437 46799458 47709489 48439338 48439160 46728831 44188472 43328216 41848211 40998220 40448283 40298413 40478560 40988729 41558853 41828917 42769087 43589225 44249337 0.30 44009192 44439260 45189311 45749333 46239325 46509155 46218961 44158611 43558520 42378409 41428395 40948460 40968562 41788757 42728971 43309083 43869168 44009192 0.45 46059096 45968977 45278851 44398736 42928539 42298512 41778550 41678630 42488784 43529004 44649163 45549252 45939240 46189194 46059096 SIGN 45209280 45789304 46119286 46319240 46129100 45998944 43538532 42748452 42288448 41698481 41498576 41778752 42728968 43309078 43659132 45209280 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 42908537 42288511 41778549 41688631 42498784 43478992 44669163 45559251 45979241 46209195 46049104 45988973 45078823 42908537 ENH 40958560 41798757 42718970 43319084 44439260 45239311 45769333 46409325 46569226 46278979 43508519 42378409 41428395 40938462 40958560 SLGT 44289345 44939415 45449439 46809460 47699489 48439332 48439162 46698831 44148465 43298219 41828210 40998220 40448282 40288407 40458553 40988728 41798911 42879107 44289345 MRGL 37507506 37177614 36727683 36967761 37647795 38377861 38817955 39438146 39888447 40268669 40818839 44469506 44529508 46669531 47749567 48999306 99999999 42558014 40607758 39597588 38457467 MRGL 33027827 32848004 33238165 33998213 34278171 33978053 34447975 34847895 34687804 34597687 34587594 TSTM 38390497 36240437 34970379 34550276 34430123 34519973 34419711 34099474 34209253 33638807 33818513 34448286 35708028 37227986 37978042 38388287 38538319 38988640 39488844 40109049 41029263 41249485 41279634 41139716 40759849 40569989 40450097 40570176 41030213 41540276 41900342 41850393 41290447 40660453 39610464 38390497 99999999 37991539 37401674 36271678 35901561 35831446 36661411 37621433 37991539 99999999 32411658 33441695 34001727 34381754 34631758 35071804 35321828 35421863 35861875 36201887 37251952 37861966 38881873 39801772 40821631 41881632 43081691 43531769 43651858 43591984 43172090 42532215 42822252 43292274 43782257 44662144 45002021 45001928 45071815 45381710 46061608 46571519 47081391 47301238 47001094 46151025 45190863 44420807 44420733 45010638 45640532 46090440 46320383 46440325 46230247 45780202 45210148 45030031 45139932 45639823 46329735 47909736 49509753 99999999 42837986 42147717 41547486 40427313 40237283 99999999 31611271 32431322 32891359 33281426 33441486 33451562 33231601 32381590 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 E GRR 25 E AZO 30 S AZO SBN 20 S RAC 20 NE LNR 15 SSW EAU 60 NE MSP 60 S DLH 45 SSE DLH 35 S ASX 25 NNW RHI 40 N GRB 10 E GRR. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W FWA 40 NW VPZ 35 SSW MSN 35 W LNR 35 N RST 25 NNE MSP 40 ENE STC 40 E BRD 20 SSW DLH 25 SE IWD 45 NNE GRR 20 WNW ARB 15 SW TOL 30 E FWA 20 W FWA. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E MKT 45 S STC 20 WSW STC 35 NW BRD 10 N BJI 10 SSE INL 40 NNE ELO 35 SSE CMX 15 S HTL 55 SE BAX 30 NNW CLE 20 NE MFD 30 N CMH 25 NNE DAY 15 NNW MIE 35 SSW VPZ 30 S RFD 35 NNW DBQ 25 E MKT. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE WAL 20 N ORF 35 WSW ORF 30 NE AVC 35 WNW RIC 15 ENE SHD 15 ESE EKN PKB 15 W DAY 15 SE LAF 35 NE BMI RWF RWF 30 ESE DTL 35 SE TVF 35 NNE INL ...CONT... 35 N ERI 20 SE UNV 15 WSW ILG 45 E SBY. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SE CRE CHS 20 ESE AGS 45 NNW AGS 40 NW CAE 35 E CAE 20 N FLO 10 SSW FAY 25 WSW OAJ 35 SSE EWN 50 SSW HSE. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW PUB 35 SSE RTN 20 SW TCC 35 ENE CVS 35 ENE PVW 30 WSW LTS 10 NNW ADM 20 W DEQ 35 W PBF 20 E CBM 35 S RMG 10 WSW AND 35 SW GSO 10 SE ROA 15 NNW SSU 20 W HTS 35 WNW HTS 15 SE BMG 10 W MTO 40 ENE UIN 10 WSW OTM 45 NE SDA 25 W OMA 25 SSE OLU 10 NNW HSI 45 NE MCK 25 NW MCK 10 WNW IML 45 E SNY 35 NNE SNY 10 E BFF 15 W BFF 20 ENE CYS 30 ENE FCL 15 SE DEN 25 WNW PUB ...CONT... 55 WNW P38 50 SSE TPH 50 WSW DRA 30 WSW LAS 40 ESE LAS 40 SW SGU 10 E P38 55 WNW P38 ...CONT... 15 SSW CZZ 45 SE RAL 10 ENE RAL 30 N RAL 25 SE EDW 15 NNW EDW 35 NW EDW 25 E BFL 35 NNE BFL 55 N BFL 35 NNE FAT 60 NE MER 45 S NFL 35 NW U31 30 W EKO 10 SW OWY 50 SW BOI 65 E BNO 20 ENE BNO 45 W BNO 75 NNW LKV 35 NW LMT 35 NNE MFR 60 SSE EUG 40 SE EUG 30 NNW RDM 65 SE DLS 55 SSW PDT 25 NW BKE 50 NE BKE 25 WSW P69 35 NNE P69 15 NE MSO 50 WSW GTF 40 SSE GTF 30 SW 3HT 40 S BIL 30 N WRL 30 SW SHR 35 ENE SHR 15 NNE 4BQ 20 SSW BHK 20 E BHK 35 SW DIK 25 NW Y22 15 SE Y22 55 WSW MBG 35 S MBG 50 WSW ABR 15 NE ABR 50 SSW FAR 10 WSW GFK 60 NNW HCO ...CONT... 55 NNE ERI 15 W ELM 10 SSW MSV 25 S ISP 40 SSE ISP ...CONT... 90 S GBN 45 SW GBN 50 W GBN 35 SE BLH 15 SW BLH 35 ESE TRM 30 SSE TRM 35 SSW IPL.