DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0748 AM CDT SUN OCT 10 2021 VALID TIME 101300Z - 111200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 39189248 38819132 37179115 34029212 32219336 30579636 30419868 30929927 32869846 33369844 33859914 34209998 34510025 34850017 35139973 35979803 37329543 39189248 0.02 46598428 43228815 42788915 42969002 44959113 46229260 47159444 49049559 0.05 37889367 37889291 37569214 36769197 35719228 34359305 32719426 31639555 31169655 31159740 31419868 33409816 33869860 34179922 34639959 34999949 37889367 0.05 48159005 47639096 47579191 47819430 49099520 0.10 33369533 33069614 33059676 33529778 34259874 34609908 34919917 35129896 36919512 36769427 36159365 35289366 34299427 33369533 0.15 35139854 36329607 35969529 35389511 34749522 34239566 34199688 34639842 34889860 35139854 SIGN 33969740 34649906 34899914 35099898 35919689 36329608 35959532 35359510 34219520 33359542 33109616 33149677 33969740 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 30879510 29869716 29559920 29889964 30209984 30519978 33329843 33829908 34210018 34370036 34590041 35030021 39389321 39359263 38779125 37189106 33549292 30879510 0.05 44848233 43908405 44268626 44058723 43228816 42778911 42959002 44979118 46239265 47189447 49039559 0.15 37539506 37489423 37079355 36629329 35379330 33269434 32379540 31619642 30779795 30929925 33389818 33899863 34169919 34619960 35029949 35329920 37539506 0.15 48159003 47669092 47579190 47819433 49089520 0.30 36389654 36179608 35379593 34379585 33529628 33269711 33509777 34289876 34609911 34909916 35179886 36389654 SIGN 35379907 35719829 36099728 35759682 34919688 34209850 34399918 34559952 34969947 35379907 && ... WIND ... 0.05 44858233 43918402 44278624 44058725 43248812 42788913 42979002 44969116 46239264 47149444 49039557 0.05 30199982 30509978 33359844 33819905 34200012 34370035 34620041 35020022 39369326 39359261 38759125 37129105 34229187 32249293 31199428 30479514 29889715 29569922 29849962 30199982 0.15 34619962 35019946 35349921 38029405 37899291 37579209 36779197 35689230 34259314 32759424 31649552 31169653 30769793 30929926 33389817 33909862 34189924 34619962 0.30 36729590 36919511 36769430 36159362 35269367 34289426 33369533 32449676 32449821 33509778 34229871 34559907 34889917 35139895 36729590 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 34679525 34229570 34189682 34639841 34839860 35109857 36329607 35959533 35349511 34679525 ENH 34269876 34599909 34899917 35129895 36739585 36929510 36769427 36169364 35289364 34269426 33399530 32429678 32459821 33509777 34269876 SLGT 34619960 35009947 35329920 38029406 37899291 37559207 36769195 35699227 34269311 32729428 31639554 31149655 30759793 30929925 33399817 33899863 34209925 34619960 SLGT 48149005 47649094 47579190 47819432 49109520 MRGL 44858233 43918404 44268624 44058726 43228816 42788912 42969003 44969117 46249266 47169445 49039560 MRGL 34230018 34390036 34630041 35030022 39369325 39359261 38759123 37149103 34179190 32229294 30479514 29879713 29579923 29869963 30209983 30539976 33359845 33829907 34230018 TSTM 28059607 28429773 28939936 29270034 29580058 30240056 30900034 32069975 33049951 33399970 33740042 33760123 33730221 33730408 33610570 33700605 33860679 34090681 34340676 34600692 34730726 34710767 34640808 34520860 34600896 35040941 35560947 36260887 36890780 37320683 37430570 37110475 37310311 38020093 38719850 39659650 42139289 44029177 45359261 45969466 46949700 48239746 49229743 99999999 42438077 41838076 41008162 40778249 41508403 42088530 41978637 41138837 39058910 36528992 35069056 32859185 30999282 29339362 99999999 27068285 28248202 29678158 30278096 99999999 33457785 35217740 38807528 39647424 39887351 99999999 41441541 40861591 40241692 40031821 40561925 41151973 42111953 42851877 43361737 43391637 42711568 42141537 41441541 99999999 49032082 47542100 46042158 43952330 42762496 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE MLC 45 NNW PRX 15 SE ADM FSI 15 NW FSI 35 NNW FSI 15 NW TUL 20 N MKO 25 SSE MKO 35 ESE MLC. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW SPS 10 ESE LTS 15 NNE LTS 20 SE CSM 10 ESE BVO 30 NW GMJ 20 WSW UMN 30 WSW HRO 30 W RUE 15 NNE DEQ 20 SSE PRX 30 S DAL 15 N SEP 50 NNW FTW 25 NW SPS. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W LTS 25 NNW LTS CSM 55 SSW SZL 45 WNW TBN 15 SSE TBN UNO 35 W BVX 15 S HOT 30 NW SHV 50 S TYR 40 NNW CLL 35 NNW AUS 40 NE JCT 45 N MWL 10 SW SPS 30 S LTS 20 W LTS. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE GNA 30 WSW GNA 25 S ELO 35 NE BJI 15 NNE RRT. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ENE OSC 25 N MBS MBL 20 ESE MTW 25 NW MKE 10 NNW JVL 20 SSE LNR 15 ENE EAU 45 SSW DLH 35 SE BJI 15 WNW RRT. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE CDS CDS 15 NNW CDS 40 N CDS 35 SSE CDJ 40 NNW COU 45 W STL 40 NW POF PBF 35 NNE IER 25 SE UTS 45 SE AUS 15 NNW HDO 45 NW HDO 20 S JCT JCT 45 S SPS 35 WSW SPS 15 SSE CDS. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE PSX NIR 30 SSW HDO 35 E DRT 25 NE DRT 50 WSW JCT 35 SSE SJT 25 S ABI 45 NNE ABI 65 N ABI 50 S CDS 35 E LBB 25 W LBB 40 NE ROW 15 NW SRR 35 WNW SRR 15 SSE ONM ONM 25 NNE ONM 35 SSW ABQ 45 WSW ABQ 35 SSE GNT 40 SSW GNT 60 SW GNT 65 ENE SOW 50 SW GUP 40 W GUP 50 SW FMN 20 S DRO 50 ENE DRO 10 E ALS 25 WSW TAD 25 W SPD 15 WNW GCK 20 ESE RSL 35 NNE MHK 40 SW ALO 30 WNW LSE 45 NE MSP 35 E AXN 10 W FAR 25 NNW GFK 40 NW HCO ...CONT... 40 NW ERI 35 WSW ERI 10 WNW CAK MFD 15 WSW TOL 15 SE AZO 10 SSE BEH 25 SE MMO 30 NNW SLO 35 ESE POF 35 W MEM 25 NNE MLU 20 E POE 50 SSE BPT ...CONT... 30 SW SRQ 45 ENE PIE 25 SW SGJ 30 NE SGJ ...CONT... 55 S ILM 20 WNW EWN 25 SSE DOV 20 NE ACY 45 ESE NEL ...CONT... 45 NNE EKO EKO 25 S BAM 20 E LOL 50 NW LOL 50 ESE AAT 45 E LKV 50 WNW REO 60 NNE REO 15 SSW BOI 60 NNE OWY 45 ENE OWY 45 NNE EKO ...CONT... 70 NW OMK 40 WNW EAT 35 NW DLS 15 SSW EUG 60 SW OTH.