DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1116 AM CDT SUN OCT 10 2021 VALID TIME 101630Z - 111200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 46598428 44558671 44578866 45059011 46959198 47209449 49049559 0.02 33849909 34150011 34380034 34610040 35030025 37439666 39189249 38819132 37179115 34029212 32219336 30579636 30419868 30929927 32869846 33369844 33849909 0.05 48159005 47639096 47579191 47819430 49099520 0.05 34629964 35459930 37299642 38049410 37919288 37569214 36769197 35719228 34359305 32719426 31639555 31169656 30789788 30869876 31469867 33409816 33869860 34179922 34629964 0.10 33399532 32449674 32439749 33519775 34139848 34379909 34659938 35349908 37009645 37149543 36809425 36159365 35289366 34299427 33399532 0.15 35529481 34479549 34309751 34429855 34859902 35449865 36359707 36789606 36779519 36209476 35529481 SIGN 33969740 34649906 34869911 35449878 36399724 36899611 36919500 36179461 35549460 33359540 33109616 33149677 33969740 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 45768268 44538532 44578866 45009001 46969185 47099445 49119560 0.05 30879510 29869716 29559920 29889964 30189982 31309967 33219892 33899929 34210018 34370036 34590041 35030021 39389321 39359263 38779125 37189106 33549292 30879510 0.15 34639962 35429933 36939699 37339629 38049415 37649324 35389330 33269434 32379540 31619642 30779795 30969934 31499941 33379845 33899863 34169919 34639962 0.15 48159003 47669092 47579190 47819433 49089520 0.30 34289877 34399907 34659939 35379900 36599712 36639641 36179608 35379593 34379585 33529628 33269711 33509777 34289877 SIGN 35379901 36079785 36099728 35759682 34919688 34209850 34399918 34559952 34969947 35379901 && ... WIND ... 0.05 45708264 44538528 44558860 44988999 46959191 47069441 49039557 0.05 30159982 31249967 33229892 33909932 34200012 34370035 34620041 35020022 39369326 39359261 38759125 37129105 34229187 32249293 31199428 30479514 29889715 29569922 29849962 30159982 0.15 34639967 35449935 37379626 38029405 37899291 37579209 36779197 35689230 34259314 32759424 31649552 31169653 30769793 30939926 31459942 33419849 33909862 34189924 34639967 0.30 34219875 34389907 34669939 35389903 37039649 37159542 36829431 36159362 35269367 34289426 33369533 32449676 32449821 33509778 34219875 0.45 34719589 34979793 35589842 36369709 36799606 36769519 36209472 35529481 34719589 SIGN 35529867 36409712 36869611 36869517 36209460 35519469 34399543 34229752 34349863 34819915 35529867 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 36369704 36799606 36759516 36169472 35569480 34479549 34299749 34419857 34819902 35449865 36369704 ENH 33479774 34119851 34399910 34689938 35389905 37029647 37159542 36799425 36169364 35289364 34269426 33399530 32429678 32459821 33479774 SLGT 48149005 47649094 47579190 47819432 49109520 SLGT 34639965 35449935 37339633 38029410 37899291 37559207 36769195 35699227 34269311 32729428 31639554 31149655 30759793 30929932 31489939 33389845 33899863 34209925 34639965 MRGL 34230018 34390036 34630041 35030022 39369325 39359261 38759123 37149103 34179190 32229294 30479514 29879713 29579923 29869963 30209987 31279967 33189892 33919934 34230018 MRGL 45648290 44548532 44598864 45008999 46959193 47119443 49039560 TSTM 28059607 28429773 28939936 29270034 29580058 30240056 30900034 32069975 33049951 33399970 33740042 33760123 33730221 33730441 33480592 33630681 34000710 34440736 34650783 35300790 36300753 37210632 37480584 37570510 37280456 37280381 37290333 38020093 38719850 39659650 42139289 44029177 45359261 45969466 46949700 48239746 49229743 99999999 42897987 41828051 41008143 40888324 41398446 41998522 41928623 41138808 39058910 36528992 35069056 32859185 30999282 29339362 99999999 26928295 28248202 29758163 30928085 99999999 33457785 35217740 38807528 39647424 39887351 99999999 41441541 40861591 40241692 40031821 40561925 41151973 42111953 42851877 43361737 43391637 42711568 42141537 41441541 99999999 49222081 47362077 46092131 43952330 42762496 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S PNC BVO 25 WNW GMJ 30 S GMJ 30 WNW FSM 35 SSE MLC 25 W ADM 20 SSW FSI 20 NE LTS 30 ENE CSM 25 S PNC. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNW FTW 10 N SPS 20 SSE LTS LTS 10 ENE CSM 30 NW BVO 35 S CNU 20 WSW UMN 30 WSW HRO 30 W RUE 15 NNE DEQ 20 SSE PRX 30 S DAL 15 N SEP 50 NNW FTW. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE GNA 30 WSW GNA 25 S ELO 35 NE BJI 15 NNE RRT. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W LTS 10 NW CSM 40 NNW BVO 55 SSW SZL 45 WNW TBN 15 SSE TBN UNO 35 W BVX 15 S HOT 30 NW SHV 50 S TYR 40 NNW CLL 35 NNW AUS 40 NE JCT 35 SW BWD 40 S SPS 10 SW SPS 30 S LTS 20 W LTS. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE CDS CDS 15 NNW CDS 40 N CDS 35 SSE CDJ 40 NNW COU 45 W STL 40 NW POF PBF 35 NNE IER 25 SE UTS 45 SE AUS 15 NNW HDO 45 NW HDO 25 SSW JCT 50 E SJT 55 WNW MWL 50 W SPS 15 SSE CDS. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NE APN 20 SE TVC 25 WNW GRB 20 WNW AUW 15 NE DLH 35 SE BJI 15 WNW RRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE PSX NIR 30 SSW HDO 35 E DRT 25 NE DRT 50 WSW JCT 35 SSE SJT 25 S ABI 45 NNE ABI 65 N ABI 50 S CDS 35 E LBB 25 W LBB 30 NNE ROW 25 W SRR 25 S ONM 10 W ONM 40 NW ONM 35 S GNT 10 N GNT 35 WNW 4SL 30 WSW ALS ALS 45 ENE ALS 15 W TAD 30 E TAD 40 W SPD 15 WNW GCK 20 ESE RSL 35 NNE MHK 40 SW ALO 30 WNW LSE 45 NE MSP 35 E AXN 10 W FAR 25 NNW GFK 40 NW HCO ...CONT... 60 W BUF 25 SW ERI CAK 25 ESE FDY 35 WSW TOL 25 SE AZO 15 NNE SBN 35 ESE MMO 30 NNW SLO 35 ESE POF 35 W MEM 25 NNE MLU 20 E POE 50 SSE BPT ...CONT... 40 SW SRQ 45 ENE PIE 25 SW SGJ 40 ESE SSI ...CONT... 55 S ILM 20 WNW EWN 25 SSE DOV 20 NE ACY 45 ESE NEL ...CONT... 45 NNE EKO EKO 25 S BAM 20 E LOL 50 NW LOL 50 ESE AAT 45 E LKV 50 WNW REO 60 NNE REO 15 SSW BOI 60 NNE OWY 45 ENE OWY 45 NNE EKO ...CONT... 80 NW OMK 25 W EAT 35 NNW DLS 15 SSW EUG 60 SW OTH.