Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 020050
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0650 PM CST Fri Jan 01 2021
Valid 020100Z - 021200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA THROUGH EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...
...SUMMARY...
A strong wind gust or two and a brief tornado remain possible this
evening from southeast Georgia into eastern South Carolina.
...Southeast Georgia through eastern South Carolina...
Band of relatively shallow convection with only a few embedded
lightning flashes persists along the warm conveyor belt from the
central FL Panhandle northeastward through the Middle Atlantic
region. The best chance for any additional severe weather this
evening exists from southeast GA, northeastward along and south of a
warm front situated across central SC. Surface based-convection in
this region will remain within vertical wind profiles sufficient for
a couple of rotating updrafts or bowing segments. The thermodynamic
environment in this region is very marginal, and a cooling surface
layer suggests most updrafts will probably remain slightly elevated.
Nevertheless, a strong wind gust and a brief tornado cannot be ruled
out primarily through about 03Z.
..Dial.. 01/02/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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