Jacksonville, FL...Tallahassee, FL...Valdosta, GA...Lakeside, FL...Palm Valley, FL...
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
2 %
23,721
2,441,360
Jacksonville, FL...Tallahassee, FL...Valdosta, GA...Lakeside, FL...Palm Valley, FL...
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
5 %
24,219
2,473,054
Jacksonville, FL...Tallahassee, FL...Valdosta, GA...Lakeside, FL...Palm Valley, FL...
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 271557
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0957 AM CST Wed Jan 27 2021
Valid 271630Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND NORTHERN FLORIDA...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms will pose a marginal severe-weather threat today
across southern Georgia and northern Florida.
...FL/GA...
Morning surface analysis shows a boundary extending from the FL
panhandle east-northeastward to the GA coast. Scattered showers and
occasional thunderstorms have been occurring in vicinity of this
boundary, including a few rotating/bowing structures. Local VAD
profiles suggest that low level winds are relatively veered,
limiting the convergence along the boundary and the near-surface
vertical shear profiles. Abundant cloud cover will also likely
persist through the day, limiting substantial destabilization. CAM
solutions suggest that deep convection will track across southern
GA/northern FL through the afternoon. A severe storm or two is
possible in this corridor, with locally damaging wind gusts the main
threat. An isolated tornado is also possible, but the overall
severe threat appears to remain marginal.
..Hart.. 01/27/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z
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