Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 280036
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0636 PM CST Wed Jan 27 2021
Valid 280100Z - 281200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected for the remainder of the
evening/overnight hours.
...01z Update...
Showers and isolated thunderstorms continue across the central FL
peninsula this evening. The severe threat has diminished this
evening. Convection will continue tracking southeast while
instability and shear diminish with southward extent. A few
lightning flashes are possible over the next 1-3 hours, but severe
storms are not expected. Elsewhere, a few lightning flashes are
still possible near the northern CA coast and offshore waters
through tonight.
..Leitman.. 01/28/2021
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z