Abilene, TX...Wichita Falls, TX...Lawton, OK...San Angelo, TX...Burkburnett, TX...
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
15 %
63,969
918,366
Abilene, TX...Wichita Falls, TX...Lawton, OK...San Angelo, TX...Altus, OK...
5 %
37,248
1,315,480
Oklahoma City, OK...Edmond, OK...Moore, OK...Enid, OK...Del Rio, TX...
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Wichita Falls, TX...Lawton, OK...Del Rio, TX...Dodge City, KS...Liberal, KS...
SPC AC 140100
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0700 PM CST Sat Mar 13 2021
Valid 140100Z - 141200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM A PORTION OF
WESTERN TEXAS...THE EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe storms will persist through mid-late evening from
near the Big Bend area of southwest Texas through the eastern Texas
Panhandle and western Oklahoma. Isolated damaging wind, large hail
and a couple of tornadoes remain possible.
...Portions of western Texas into the eastern Texas Panhandle and
western Oklahoma...
A few supercells persist from the eastern TX Panhandle into
northwest TX. Overall trend has been for these storms to weaken and
become less organized, possibly due to a stabilizing boundary layer
and presence of a pronounced inversion near 700 mb evident on RAP
soundings. The stronger storms in this cluster will remain capable
of producing a couple of tornadoes and large hail into mid evening.
Other storms are developing farther west and southward along the
cold front through west TX, and this activity will continue east
into the evening before weakening by 03-04Z due to increasing
convective inhibition and a stabilizing surface layer. In the
meantime, isolated damaging wind, large hail and a tornado or two
remain possible with this activity.
..Dial.. 03/14/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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