Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
SPC AC 270046
Day 1 Convective Outlook CORR 1
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0746 PM CDT Fri Mar 26 2021
Valid 270100Z - 271200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS AND MID-SOUTH INTO NORTHWEST GEORGIA...
CORRECTED FOR MARGINAL WORDING
...SUMMARY...
Marginally severe storms remain possible tonight across the central
Plains and lower Mississippi Valley.
...01z Update...
Low-level warm advection will likely be the primary mechanism for
convection across the central Plains tonight. Thunderstorms are
gradually increasing in areal coverage, and some intensity, across
the MRGL Risk as LLJ strengthens across central KS into this region.
Early thoughts regarding this scenario remain.
Low-level warm advection is also expected to induce convection along
a corridor from southern AR, arcing across the Mid-South into
northwest GA. Weak band of convection that currently extends across
southern MS/AL should gradually lift north with time as LLJ
strengthens across the upper TX Coast/LA into southeast AR later
this evening. Storms should increase along the nose of this feature,
likely continuing into the pre-dawn hours.
..Darrow.. 03/27/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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