Virginia Beach, VA...Norfolk, VA...Chesapeake, VA...Newport News, VA...Hampton, VA...
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
5 %
57,130
11,273,912
Virginia Beach, VA...Norfolk, VA...Chesapeake, VA...Newport News, VA...Hampton, VA...
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 290041
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0741 PM CDT Sun Mar 28 2021
Valid 290100Z - 291200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE EAST COAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated damaging wind gusts remain possible for the next hour or
two across the immediate coastal areas along the East Coast.
...01Z Update...
The cold front has pushed offshore across the northern Mid-Atlantic
while a small portion of southern New England remains ahead of it.
Limited buoyancy and low-level stability will limit storm strength,
although strong wind fields and ongoing shallow convection could
still result in a convectively augmented gusts or two at the
surface.
Farther south from the coastal Mid-Atlantic into the coastal
Southeast, a few stronger storms could contribute to a strong wind
gust or two. This is particularly the case across coastal GA and SC
where modest buoyancy exists with the limited area ahead of the
pre-frontal trough. Radar trends in this area continue to show
sporadic updraft intensification.
..Mosier.. 03/29/2021
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z