Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
2 %
17,899
1,842,071
Wilmington, NC...North Charleston, SC...Jacksonville, NC...Goose Creek, SC...Myrtle Beach, SC...
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
SPC AC 010022
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0722 PM CDT Wed Mar 31 2021
Valid 010100Z - 011200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE FL
PANHANDLE TO COASTAL SOUTH/NORTH CAROLINA...
...SUMMARY...
Severe threat is waning across the Southeast this evening.
...Southeast...
Elongated MCS that stretches from the FL Panhandle across southern
GA is gradually weakening as it propagates slowly southeast this
evening. Convective outflow is spreading several miles ahead of the
precipitation shield and lightning is lessening within warming cloud
tops. Farther northeast, numerous showers/thunderstorms extend
across coastal SC/NC and the air mass will quickly overturn over the
next hour or so as this activity propagates offshore.
Severe threat is diminishing across this region and will be
negligible within a few hours.
..Darrow.. 04/01/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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