Apr 22, 2021 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Apr 22 01:00:29 UTC 2021 (20210422 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20210422 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20210422 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20210422 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20210422 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20210422 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 220100

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0800 PM CDT Wed Apr 21 2021

   Valid 220100Z - 221200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   A few isolated thunderstorms are possible in eastern Maine.

   ...Discussion...
   Isolated thunderstorm activity is currently ongoing near the cold
   front/surface low in eastern Maine. The cold front/surface low will
   move offshore in the next few hours bringing and end to thunderstorm
   activity in Maine. 

   The boundary layer has stabilized across the Midwest, thus bringing
   an end to the thunderstorm threat. 

   An isolated lightning flash or two remains possible across portions
   of Nevada and Utah, but this threat is waning as the boundary layer
   cools. 

   Thunderstorm activity will likely remain offshore with stable
   conditions prevailing across southern Florida and the Keys.

   ..Bentley/Thompson.. 04/22/2021

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z