Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 300544
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1244 AM CDT Sat Oct 30 2021
Valid 301200Z - 311200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Organized severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the
contiguous United States today or tonight.
...DISCUSSION...
An upper-level low will move north-northeastward across the central
Appalachians today. An associated warm front will move northeastward
across southern New England. Thunderstorms will be possible in the
vicinity of the front this morning and afternoon as surface
temperatures warm. Isolated thunderstorms will also be possible in
parts of the Intermountain West and Pacific Northwest to the east of
an approaching upper-level low. Instability is forecast to be weak
across the continental United States. No severe weather is expected
today or tonight.
..Broyles/Bentley.. 10/30/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z
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