Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 020059
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0759 PM CDT Mon Nov 01 2021
Valid 020100Z - 021200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The risk for severe thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S.
through tonight.
...Synopsis...
A few weak thunderstorms are possible from northern Texas into
southern Oklahoma tonight in an area of weak isentropic ascent.
Weak lake effect convection across Lake Superior and the Upper
Peninsula of Michigan will continue into the overnight hours.
However, these showers have not shown any evidence of lightning thus
far, and the environment will become increasingly less favorable
through the overnight period. Therefore, the general thunderstorm
outline has been dropped.
..Bentley.. 11/02/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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