Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 021928
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0228 PM CDT Tue Nov 02 2021
Valid 022000Z - 031200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The risk for severe thunderstorms appears minimal through tonight.
...20z update...
Previous forecast remains on track and no significant changes were
made with this update.
..Bunting.. 11/02/2021
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1113 AM CDT Tue Nov 02 2021/
No significant changes have been made to the ongoing forecast.
Isolated thunderstorms are expected today and tonight in a regime of
low-level warm advection and weak buoyancy over parts of TX/OK.
While an isolated strong storm cannot be ruled out this afternoon
over the Davis Mountains of southwest TX, the odds appear quite low.
Other showers and isolated thunderstorms are possible over portions
of CO/WY and from parts of MI into NY. Lightning activity is
expected to be rather sparse in these areas, with no severe storms
anticipated.
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
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