Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 030557
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1257 AM CDT Wed Nov 03 2021
Valid 031200Z - 041200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not currently forecast across the
contiguous United States today and tonight.
...DISCUSSION...
An upper-level trough will move east-northeastward across the
Northeast today as another upper-level trough moves southeastward
into the southern High Plains. Ahead of this trough, a cold front
will move southward from the Texas Hill Country into south-central
Texas today. Thunderstorms will be possible near the front and in
the post-frontal airmass across the Texas Hill Country, and from
north-central into east Texas. Storms that develop to the north of
the boundary should be elevated. A severe threat is not expected
across Texas today. Elsewhere, isolated thunderstorms will be
possible along the east coast of Florida, in the Florida Keys and
along parts of the west Coast. Instability in these areas will
remain too weak for a severe threat.
..Broyles/Bentley.. 11/03/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z
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