Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
2 %
27,310
9,735,443
Cape Coral, FL...Palm Bay, FL...Melbourne, FL...The Hammocks, FL...Tamiami, FL...
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 060049
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0749 PM CDT Fri Nov 05 2021
Valid 060100Z - 061200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA...
...SUMMARY...
Strong thunderstorms remain possible across the southern Florida
Peninsula tonight.
...South Florida...
Early-evening water-vapor imagery depicts a well-defined short-wave
trough over the central Gulf Basin. This feature will advance slowly
east tonight with strongest 500mb winds forecast to translate across
the southern FL Peninsula. Strongest thunderstorms remain focused
ahead of the main cold front extending from offshore-Sarasota-Hardee
County. Given the wind fields, sustained rotating updrafts remain
possible; although the primary storm mode should be a broken squall
line with embedded supercells. Locally damaging winds and perhaps a
brief tornado remain the primary threats as this activity spreads
inland.
..Darrow.. 11/06/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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