Nov 8, 2021 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Nov 8 16:28:52 UTC 2021 (20211108 1630Z Day 1 shapefile | 20211108 1630Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211108 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20211108 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20211108 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20211108 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 081628

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1028 AM CST Mon Nov 08 2021

   Valid 081630Z - 091200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not expected today.

   ...Northern California/southwest Oregon...
   Amplifying cyclonic westerlies will occur along the West Coast
   through tonight. Low-level moistening and destabilization, along
   with a late-period steepening of mid-level lapse rates, will support
   the possibility of isolated lightning flashes tonight in association
   with inland-spreading precipitation. A stronger or more
   organized/sustained thunderstorm or two might occur near the
   northern California and/or far southwest Oregon coasts late tonight,
   although severe storms are not expected.

   ..Guyer.. 11/08/2021

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z