Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 141242
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0642 AM CST Sun Nov 14 2021
Valid 141300Z - 151200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast today.
...Discussion...
A quiet pattern with negligible thunderstorm potential across much
of the CONUS. The deepest of lake-induced convective bands over
parts of the Great Lakes might yield a few lightning flashes as -14
to -18 C 700-mb temps overspread much of the region in association
with a passing shortwave trough. It appears the lake-induced
convection will predominately remain too shallow amid marginal
inversion heights to warrant thunderstorm probabilities above 10
percent this period.
..Grams.. 11/14/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z
| 
)
