Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 191945
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0145 PM CST Fri Nov 19 2021
Valid 192000Z - 201200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected this afternoon through
tonight.
...20Z Update...
Only minor changes to the ongoing forecast. Isolated thunderstorm
activity remains possible in South Florida for perhaps a few more
hours. Activity will tend to diminish with the loss of daytime
heating.
..Wendt.. 11/19/2021
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1030 AM CST Fri Nov 19 2021/
...Florida...
A moist environment to the south of a cold front will influence
scattered showers and the possibility of isolated/occasional
thunderstorms across the southern Florida Peninsula and Florida Keys
vicinity today. Severe storms are unlikely given the weak lapse
rates and limited low-level/deep-layer shear across the region.
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
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