Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 220052
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0652 PM CST Sun Nov 21 2021
Valid 220100Z - 221200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe weather is not expected the remainder of the period.
...Discussion...
Showers and embedded thunderstorms will continue moving across the
Mississippi Delta region/Gulf Coast states this evening, as a cold
front continues progressing southeastward across the region. Weak
instability suggests muted storm intensity the remainder of the
period.
Showers and a thunderstorm or two continue across the south Florida
vicinity, with weak convective activity likely to persist through
the overnight hours.
Finally, an increase in convection is expected over the Gulf Stream
as the cold front approaches, with a few lightning flashes possibly
affecting coastal North Carolina in the vicinity of the Outer Banks,
as well as portions of southeastern New England later tonight.
..Goss.. 11/22/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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