Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 260052
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0652 PM CST Thu Nov 25 2021
Valid 260100Z - 261200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. through Friday
morning.
...Discussion...
A cold front continues moving eastward across the southern and
eastern U.S., and now extends from the lower Great Lakes
southwestward across Louisiana into the western Gulf of Mexico, and
has finally pushed south of Cameron County in Deep South Texas. As
such, isolated thunderstorms have also shifted southward -- into
northeastern Mexico and the adjacent western Gulf. With no
additional inland lightning expected, the thunder area that included
portions of this area has been removed.
Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected through the remainder of
the period.
..Goss.. 11/26/2021
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z