Nov 26, 2021 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Nov 26 00:52:37 UTC 2021 (20211126 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20211126 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211126 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20211126 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20211126 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20211126 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 260052

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0652 PM CST Thu Nov 25 2021

   Valid 260100Z - 261200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. through Friday
   morning.

   ...Discussion...
   A cold front continues moving eastward across the southern and
   eastern U.S., and now extends from the lower Great Lakes
   southwestward across Louisiana into the western Gulf of Mexico, and
   has finally pushed south of Cameron County in Deep South Texas.  As
   such, isolated thunderstorms have also shifted southward -- into
   northeastern Mexico and the adjacent western Gulf.  With no
   additional inland lightning expected, the thunder area that included
   portions of this area has been removed.

   Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected through the remainder of
   the period.

   ..Goss.. 11/26/2021

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z