Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 261229
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0629 AM CST Fri Nov 26 2021
Valid 261300Z - 271200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
No thunderstorms are expected through tonight across the contiguous
United States.
...Synopsis...
A benign convective pattern will persist through early Saturday
across the CONUS, with midlevel ridging over the Great Basin and
downstream troughing over the Northeast. A cool and/or dry air mass
in the low levels will cover the majority of the CONUS, precluding
thunderstorms. Convection will be possible through the day across
Sonora/Chihuahua with a southern stream midlevel low, but the
associated lightning flashes will remain south of the international
border.
..Thompson.. 11/26/2021
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z