Nov 26, 2021 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Nov 26 12:29:39 UTC 2021 (20211126 1300Z Day 1 shapefile | 20211126 1300Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211126 1300 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20211126 1300 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20211126 1300 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20211126 1300 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 261229

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0629 AM CST Fri Nov 26 2021

   Valid 261300Z - 271200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   No thunderstorms are expected through tonight across the contiguous
   United States.

   ...Synopsis...
   A benign convective pattern will persist through early Saturday
   across the CONUS, with midlevel ridging over the Great Basin and
   downstream troughing over the Northeast.  A cool and/or dry air mass
   in the low levels will cover the majority of the CONUS, precluding
   thunderstorms.  Convection will be possible through the day across
   Sonora/Chihuahua with a southern stream midlevel low, but the
   associated lightning flashes will remain south of the international
   border.

   ..Thompson.. 11/26/2021

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z