Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 291946
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0146 PM CST Mon Nov 29 2021
Valid 292000Z - 301200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected through early Tuesday.
...20z Update...
No changes are needed with the 20z update as thunderstorms are not
expected the remainder of today/tonight.
..Leitman.. 11/29/2021
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1002 AM CST Mon Nov 29 2021/
...Synopsis...
Northwesterly mid-level flow will prevail across much of the central
and eastern US through the forecast period in the wake of a
departing upper trough. Across the Southwest, mid-level ridging will
shift westward as a weak upper low develops off the Baja coast.
Several shortwave troughs embedded within the flow aloft will move
across the northern Rockies and upper Midwest today, though scant
boundary-layer moisture remains due to surface high pressure and
several days offshore flow. As such, thunderstorms appear unlikely
across the CONUS through early Tuesday.
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
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