Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 300054
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0654 PM CST Mon Nov 29 2021
Valid 300100Z - 301200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the contiguous United States
through tonight.
...DISCUSSION...
An upper-level trough will move away from the Eastern Seaboard this
evening as northwest mid-level flow remains from the Great Plains to
the Appalachians. At the surface, high pressure will remain
entrenched from the Gulf Coast region to the southern Appalachians.
This will keep a dry and cool airmass in place across much of the
central and eastern U.S. making conditions unfavorable for
thunderstorm development through tonight.
..Broyles.. 11/30/2021
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z