Nov 30, 2021 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Nov 30 00:54:56 UTC 2021 (20211130 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20211130 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211130 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20211130 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20211130 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20211130 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 300054

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0654 PM CST Mon Nov 29 2021

   Valid 300100Z - 301200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not expected across the contiguous United States
   through tonight.

   ...DISCUSSION...
   An upper-level trough will move away from the Eastern Seaboard this
   evening as northwest mid-level flow remains from the Great Plains to
   the Appalachians. At the surface, high pressure will remain
   entrenched from the Gulf Coast region to the southern Appalachians.
   This will keep a dry and cool airmass in place across much of the
   central and eastern U.S. making conditions unfavorable for
   thunderstorm development through tonight.

   ..Broyles.. 11/30/2021

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z