Dec 2, 2021 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Dec 2 00:52:40 UTC 2021 (20211202 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20211202 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211202 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20211202 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20211202 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20211202 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 020052

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0652 PM CST Wed Dec 01 2021

   Valid 020100Z - 021200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not expected across the contiguous United States
   this evening through tonight.

   ...DISCUSSION...
   An upper-level trough will eastward through the southern and central
   Appalachian Mountains this evening as northwest mid-level flow
   remains across the central U.S. At the surface, high pressure will
   remain over the Gulf Coast Region into the southern High Plains.
   This will keep a relatively dry airmass in place over much of the
   central and eastern U.S. making conditions unfavorable for
   thunderstorms this evening through tonight.

   ..Broyles.. 12/02/2021

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z