Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 030052
Day 1 Convective Outlook CORR 1
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0652 PM CST Thu Dec 02 2021
Valid 030100Z - 031200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
CORRECTED TO RESEND THUNDER LINE
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible in parts of southwest Texas
this evening. No severe thunderstorms are expected across the
continental United States this evening and tonight.
...DISCUSSION...
Northwest mid-level flow will be in place from the north-central
states to the Eastern Seaboard this evening as a shortwave trough
approaches southwest Texas. Ahead of the trough, mid-level moisture,
large-scale ascent and weak instability will make isolated
thunderstorm development possible this evening in the vicinity of
Del Rio. Conditions do not support severe thunderstorms. Elsewhere
across the continental United States, no thunderstorms are expected
through tonight.
..Broyles.. 12/03/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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