Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 030555
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1155 PM CST Thu Dec 02 2021
Valid 031200Z - 041200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms may develop late this afternoon and evening
across parts of the southern Plains and Arklatex, but no severe
weather is expected.
...DISCUSSION...
West-northwest mid-level flow will remain over much of the northern
and eastern United States today as a shortwave trough moves eastward
across the southern Plains. At the surface, weak low-level moisture
return will take place from eastern parts of the southern Plains
into the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. In spite of this,
instability will remain relatively weak this afternoon across the
moist sector. Isolated thunderstorm development will be possible
along and near the northwestern edge of the moist airmass from
central Texas northeastward into the Arklatex. No severe threat is
expected due to the weak instability. Elsewhere across the
continental United States, thunderstorm development is not forecast
today or tonight.
..Broyles/Wendt.. 12/03/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z
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