Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 090024
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0624 PM CST Wed Dec 08 2021
Valid 090100Z - 091200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected overnight.
...FL...
Southwestern flank of convective band is progressing steadily
offshore as a weak embedded MCV has now moved off the coast, roughly
30 mi northeast of Palm Coast. With the large-scale trough shifting
east and deep-layer flow veering, the prospect for organized severe
appears to be minimal across the Peninsula. Even so, the threat for
isolated thunderstorms will linger across portions of the northern
Peninsula for at least the next few hours.
..Darrow.. 12/09/2021
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z