Dec 9, 2021 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Dec 9 00:24:13 UTC 2021 (20211209 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20211209 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211209 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20211209 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20211209 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20211209 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 090024

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0624 PM CST Wed Dec 08 2021

   Valid 090100Z - 091200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not expected overnight.

   ...FL...

   Southwestern flank of convective band is progressing steadily
   offshore as a weak embedded MCV has now moved off the coast, roughly
   30 mi northeast of Palm Coast. With the large-scale trough shifting
   east and deep-layer flow veering, the prospect for organized severe
   appears to be minimal across the Peninsula. Even so, the threat for
   isolated thunderstorms will linger across portions of the northern
   Peninsula for at least the next few hours.

   ..Darrow.. 12/09/2021

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z