Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 092015
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0215 PM CST Thu Dec 09 2021
Valid 092000Z - 101200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected today.
No changes were made from the previous outlook.
..Jewell.. 12/09/2021
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1020 AM CST Thu Dec 09 2021/
Quiet convective weather is expected over most of the US today.
Strengthening southwesterly low and mid level winds over the
southeast states will lead to enhanced low-level warm/moist
advection after dark. This will yield marginal instability and the
potential for scattered showers and thunderstorms from LA into
MS/AL/GA overnight. Other isolated thunderstorms will be possible
this afternoon and evening as a shortwave trough approaches the
WA/OR coast. No severe storms are anticipated.
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
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