Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 220036
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0636 PM CST Tue Dec 21 2021
Valid 220100Z - 221200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorm threat is low tonight.
...01z Update...
Offshore flow is deepening along the Atlantic Coast in the wake of
progressive southern-stream trough. As a result, stable continental
air mass that is overspreading this region will suppress
thunderstorm development tonight.
..Darrow.. 12/22/2021
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z