Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 260018
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0618 PM CST Sat Dec 25 2021
Valid 260100Z - 261200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms will remain possible along the Pacific Coast
and perhaps into parts of central California. Severe weather is
unlikely.
Isolated lighting flashes remain possible across parts of central
California, and perhaps along the Oregon Coast as the upper trough
swings east this evening, providing cold air aloft. Otherwise, a
narrow line of convection is expected to weaken as it shifts south
across West Virginia and eastern Kentucky due to weakening
instability and low-level convergence.
..Jewell.. 12/26/2021
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z