Virginia Beach, VA...Norfolk, VA...Chesapeake, VA...Newport News, VA...Hampton, VA...
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
2 %
11,301
1,743,754
Virginia Beach, VA...Norfolk, VA...Chesapeake, VA...Newport News, VA...Hampton, VA...
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
5 %
11,301
1,746,125
Virginia Beach, VA...Norfolk, VA...Chesapeake, VA...Newport News, VA...Hampton, VA...
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 280519
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1219 AM CDT Thu Oct 28 2021
Valid 291200Z - 301200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHEASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA AND FAR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible during the morning over
northeastern North Carolina and far southeast Virginia.
...NC/VA...
The mid-level low initially over the TN Valley will slowly migrate
eastward into southwest VA during the period. A front will extend
from a low over the central Appalachians to eastern NC and southward
to the FL Straits at the start of the period. A moist/destabilizing
warm sector will likely exist early Friday morning over parts of
eastern NC and into far southeast VA. Model guidance shows a broken
band of convection near the front during the morning moving
east-northeast and offshore into the coastal waters by late morning.
Forecast soundings indicate that before the convection clears the
coast, a risk for a supercell or two and linear segments may lend a
narrow window of opportunity for isolated damaging gusts and/or a
tornado.
Elsewhere, quiescent conditions will prevail across much of the
remainder of the Lower 48 states.
..Smith.. 10/28/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
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