Oct 29, 2021 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Oct 29 05:46:17 UTC 2021 (20211029 0600Z Day 2 shapefile | 20211029 0600Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211029 0600 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20211029 0600 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20211029 0600 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20211029 0600 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 290546

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1246 AM CDT Fri Oct 29 2021

   Valid 301200Z - 311200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Organized severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the
   contiguous United States on Saturday.

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level low will move from the central Appalachians to the
   Adirondacks while weakening during the period.  Strong forcing for
   ascent and the development of pockets of weak buoyancy may yield a
   few elevated thunderstorms over New England.  Farther west, a
   mid-level low will weaken over as it moves from offshore the
   northern CA coast into southern OR.  A few lightning flashes are
   possible with weak convection in association with this upper system.
   Elsewhere, relatively tranquil conditions will prevail over a large
   part of the Lower 48 states.

   ..Smith.. 10/29/2021

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z