Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 290546
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1246 AM CDT Fri Oct 29 2021
Valid 301200Z - 311200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Organized severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the
contiguous United States on Saturday.
...Synopsis...
A mid-level low will move from the central Appalachians to the
Adirondacks while weakening during the period. Strong forcing for
ascent and the development of pockets of weak buoyancy may yield a
few elevated thunderstorms over New England. Farther west, a
mid-level low will weaken over as it moves from offshore the
northern CA coast into southern OR. A few lightning flashes are
possible with weak convection in association with this upper system.
Elsewhere, relatively tranquil conditions will prevail over a large
part of the Lower 48 states.
..Smith.. 10/29/2021
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z