Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 291722
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1222 PM CDT Fri Oct 29 2021
Valid 301200Z - 311200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Organized severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the
contiguous United States on Saturday.
...Synopsis/Discussion...
A mid/upper-level low will move from the central Appalachians to the
Northeast while slowly weakening through the period. Strong
large-scale ascent and weak instability may yield a few elevated
storms over parts of New England mainly through the afternoon and
early evening. Latest guidance continues to suggest that low-level
moisture will not be enough across this region to support
surface-based storms and an appreciable severe threat. Isolated
lightning flashes may also occur with weak convection associated
with an upper low that should move onshore across portions of
northern CA and southern OR.
..Gleason.. 10/29/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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